Reckless-Disengagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-24 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$4

Other

28% 94% +$2

Politics

8% 100% +$8

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	06-26 05:07
ethereum above 1600 on april 10	1	$137	137	0	+137	Yes	+$0	04-08 15:39
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$0	04-06 13:33
will ethereum reach 2600 march 30 april 5	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$0	04-03 10:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$137	137	0	+137	No	+$0	03-29 05:42
solana above 130 on april 17	1	$126	126	0	+126	No	+$0	04-15 14:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-22 04:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	04-26 11:05
will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	06-11 13:13
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 14?	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	07-10 15:30
will chainlink reach 20 in february	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	02-26 09:25
bitcoin above 58k on march 16	1	$111	111	0	+111	Yes	+$0	03-14 05:26
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2800 on april 21	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	04-19 14:41
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 6?	1	$108	108	0	+108	No	+$0	05-03 05:15
xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	06-04 05:55
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	04-23 15:00
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	04-11 14:50
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 8?	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	05-07 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-30 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 8?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	05-07 12:26
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-24 15:12
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-30 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 11?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 02:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-30 13:39
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-10 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	06-03 15:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-14 05:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-12 16:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	05-22 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:12:14	Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x985e8b…
07-10 15:30:55	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 14?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x31d676…
07-10 15:29:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf23028…
07-10 15:28:43	Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf45203…
06-26 05:07:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x5a08b9…
06-11 13:13:19	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7097dc…
06-11 13:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3e942a…
06-04 05:55:10	xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xffd53e…
06-03 15:30:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x7eb482…
05-22 04:47:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbe4b8a…
05-22 04:45:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x73a2c1…
05-12 16:27:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x93c93c…
05-12 16:15:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x58cc5b…
05-10 02:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x35ad84…
05-10 01:57:17	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6bde94…
05-07 12:30:35	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 8?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8ab601…
05-07 12:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 8?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa9ba06…
05-03 05:15:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 6?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xed2916…
05-03 05:14:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x790eea…
04-30 13:42:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf95aa4…
04-30 13:41:32	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1a9bd5…
04-30 13:40:44	Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8ca3e8…
04-30 13:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xad5117…
04-26 11:05:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x652467…
04-26 11:05:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x045a8b…
04-25 02:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x158101…
04-23 15:00:30	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x0f5e69…
04-22 04:48:26	highest temperature in moscow on april 23 2026 neg 1corbelow	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19849f…
04-19 14:41:20	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2800 on april 21	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x74ccda…
04-19 12:20:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x38abd3…
04-15 14:29:28	solana above 130 on april 17	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4cdbab…
04-14 11:05:31	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 10c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa0551c…
04-12 16:30:17	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4720bc…
04-11 14:50:55	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x297892…
04-11 14:49:57	bun hei uni 2026 04 11 hei	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x937776…
04-08 15:39:03	ethereum above 1600 on april 10	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xc40d37…
04-06 13:33:53	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x2f8ac1…
04-03 10:41:49	will ethereum reach 2600 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xca2306…
03-29 05:42:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf4f1d0…
03-14 05:26:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 16	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x218d6d…
03-14 05:23:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc587e8…
03-14 05:22:47	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02f226…
03-14 05:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc475a…
03-14 05:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x077978…
02-26 09:25:16	will chainlink reach 20 in february	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7925b1…
02-26 09:24:12	will elon musks net worth be between 630b and 640b on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49c45c…
02-26 09:23:02	will trump be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 394	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccb8f5…
02-26 09:22:10	will hallow prayer meditation be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87e9e3…