Reckless-Disengagement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-10 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$0

Other

25% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$140	140	+140	open	—	06-26 05:07
ethereum above 1600 on april 10	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	04-08 15:39
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	04-06 13:33
will ethereum reach 2600 march 30 april 5	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	04-03 10:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$137	137	+137	open	—	03-29 05:42
solana above 130 on april 17	1	$126	126	+126	open	—	04-15 14:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	05-22 04:47
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	05-12 16:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	04-26 11:05
will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	06-11 13:13
will chainlink reach 20 in february	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	02-26 09:25
bitcoin above 58k on march 16	1	$111	111	+111	open	—	03-14 05:26
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2800 on april 21	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-19 14:41
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 6?	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	05-03 05:15
xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	06-04 05:55
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	04-23 15:00
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	04-11 14:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	04-30 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-30 13:39
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	07-10 15:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	06-03 15:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	03-14 05:23
highest temperature in moscow on april 23 2026 neg 1corbelow	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	04-22 04:48
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 10c	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	04-14 11:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-03 05:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	04-26 11:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$12	19	+19	open	—	04-19 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on April 25?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-25 02:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 14corbelow	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-12 16:30
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-14 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 15:29:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf23028…
06-26 05:07:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x5a08b9…
06-11 13:13:19	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7097dc…
06-04 05:55:10	xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xffd53e…
06-03 15:30:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x7eb482…
05-22 04:47:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 May 18-24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbe4b8a…
05-12 16:15:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x58cc5b…
05-03 05:15:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 6?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xed2916…
05-03 05:14:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x790eea…
04-30 13:42:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf95aa4…
04-30 13:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xad5117…
04-26 11:05:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x652467…
04-26 11:05:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x045a8b…
04-25 02:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x158101…
04-23 15:00:30	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on April 25?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x0f5e69…
04-22 04:48:26	highest temperature in moscow on april 23 2026 neg 1corbelow	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19849f…
04-19 14:41:20	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2800 on april 21	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x74ccda…
04-19 12:20:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x38abd3…
04-15 14:29:28	solana above 130 on april 17	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4cdbab…
04-14 11:05:31	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 10c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa0551c…
04-12 16:30:17	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4720bc…
04-11 14:50:55	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x297892…
04-11 14:49:57	bun hei uni 2026 04 11 hei	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x937776…
04-08 15:39:03	ethereum above 1600 on april 10	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xc40d37…
04-06 13:33:53	highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x2f8ac1…
04-03 10:41:49	will ethereum reach 2600 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xca2306…
03-29 05:42:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf4f1d0…
03-14 05:26:21	bitcoin above 58k on march 16	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x218d6d…
03-14 05:23:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc587e8…
03-14 05:22:47	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x02f226…
03-14 05:21:03	btc updown 5m 1773465300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdc475a…
03-14 05:17:33	btc updown 5m 1773465300	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x077978…
02-26 09:25:16	will chainlink reach 20 in february	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7925b1…
02-26 09:24:12	will elon musks net worth be between 630b and 640b on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49c45c…
02-26 09:23:02	will trump be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 394	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xccb8f5…
02-26 09:22:10	will hallow prayer meditation be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87e9e3…