Tempting-Ink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

183

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-30 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 87% -$9

Sports

28% 20% -$39

Other

23% 66% -$24

Politics

13% 80% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$408	204	204	+0	No	$0	02-11 09:37
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$384	277	108	+169	No	+$0	05-16 04:29
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$382	192	192	+0	open	—	05-28 06:38
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$382	192	192	+0	open	—	05-28 06:59
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$376	189	189	+0	No	$0	05-19 05:24
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$376	189	189	+0	No	$0	05-19 05:43
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$370	187	187	-0	No	$0	05-14 07:54
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$368	184	184	+0	No	$0	05-11 07:42
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$364	183	183	-0	open	—	05-20 11:29
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	05-24 10:49
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$364	182	182	+0	No	$0	05-26 07:58
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-06 12:56
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$358	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-09 03:56
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$356	180	180	-0	No	$0	05-14 08:16
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	05-27 06:05
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	05-27 04:11
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$346	175	175	+0	open	—	05-07 12:39
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$346	176	176	+0	open	—	05-18 08:10
Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	2	$338	169	169	+0	No	$0	05-16 04:27
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$253	127	127	+0	No	$0	03-02 08:54
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	05-30 05:36
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$234	118	118	+0	No	$0	03-03 12:31
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$228	114	114	+0	No	$0	03-18 10:39
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	$0	01-13 06:35
will maverick mcnealy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$218	110	110	+0	No	$0	03-28 10:44
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$0	03-28 11:10
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$214	108	108	+0	No	$0	04-21 11:25
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$214	107	107	+0	No	$0	01-26 03:56
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$214	107	107	+0	No	$0	01-26 04:23
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$0	04-07 04:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:53:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd06316…
10-30 14:51:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x66b975…
09-04 12:05:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x702762…
08-29 06:29:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in August?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x0e184f…
08-29 06:27:34	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe676be…
07-17 07:43:03	will aapl dip to 288 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x57dc8e…
07-17 07:29:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2bc8c0…
06-26 08:11:38	will meta reach 630 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x4433fc…
05-31 07:13:54	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xc8c94b…
05-30 05:37:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4a7c30…
05-30 05:36:28	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x766972…
05-30 05:09:24	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1265fc…
05-30 05:05:16	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xea6726…
05-30 04:58:58	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd62b6a…
05-29 08:02:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,750	0¢	$7	0x5ede92…
05-29 04:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xfd1540…
05-29 04:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,115	0¢	$2	0xebd7c5…
05-29 03:54:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	5,979	0¢	$12	0x6e7c61…
05-29 03:53:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0xefca7d…
05-29 03:46:56	Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x812903…
05-28 07:10:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x8762b3…
05-28 07:08:00	World Championships: Canada vs. USA	USA	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd044fb…
05-28 07:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xa70922…
05-28 06:59:16	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$191	0x244b55…
05-28 06:39:32	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$191	0x12a272…
05-28 06:38:18	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$191	0x0bb983…
05-28 06:19:57	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$191	0x480eba…
05-27 06:12:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x1a48bd…
05-27 06:11:15	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xca781f…
05-27 06:05:11	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xfd0def…
05-27 04:13:34	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x6af5b8…
05-27 04:11:21	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x733e12…
05-27 03:51:17	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x5f8500…
05-26 08:11:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x237624…
05-26 08:03:43	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x136036…
05-26 07:58:23	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x5dba72…
05-26 06:42:01	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x88e847…
05-24 10:50:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xfa58b3…
05-24 10:49:00	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0x1234ca…
05-24 10:33:57	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x2390f1…
05-23 12:36:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0xd613f6…
05-22 10:49:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x10c193…
05-21 08:58:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x6736b7…
05-21 08:51:42	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert	Ignacio Buse	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x8d5b6c…
05-20 11:37:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xe49f34…
05-20 11:34:08	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0ef6f5…
05-20 11:29:42	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	183	99¢	$182	0xeeffe0…
05-20 10:18:22	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0x7c24fc…
05-19 05:53:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x70e547…
05-19 05:49:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	TDK	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x7d5315…
05-19 05:43:04	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x787c83…
05-19 05:26:46	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x43503f…
05-19 05:24:58	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	189	99¢	$188	0x1749d3…
05-19 04:37:25	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x313e15…
05-18 08:12:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xb84566…
05-18 08:10:05	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	176	98¢	$173	0x99ea9e…
05-18 07:45:51	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	176	98¢	$173	0x68f469…
05-18 07:39:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0xb08c08…
05-17 07:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x4467ea…
05-16 04:29:37	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x0c0109…
05-16 04:27:22	Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x3a4169…
05-16 04:08:17	Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xc3a076…
05-16 04:05:45	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marko Topo vs Hugo Gaston	Hugo Gaston	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0xdcec3b…
05-15 08:11:23	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460-$470 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x68ad64…
05-14 08:20:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x0ee0e4…
05-14 08:16:33	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x4b82df…
05-14 07:59:56	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xc75efb…
05-14 07:57:32	KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x294aba…
05-14 07:54:04	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0x2cd43d…
05-14 07:44:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0x563b88…
05-13 03:49:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x5efc3c…
05-12 09:44:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0x9b08ab…
05-11 07:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xa2570d…
05-11 07:42:28	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xf8c101…
05-11 07:21:44	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x13cd74…
05-11 07:18:35	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1d2ebc…
05-10 06:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x501d5d…
05-09 04:00:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xc2ec51…
05-09 03:56:25	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x1a8093…
05-09 03:40:33	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xcafdcb…
05-09 03:34:29	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x8baf12…
05-08 04:55:32	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x12ae55…
05-07 12:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xc0c169…
05-07 12:39:25	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0xcf45b3…
05-07 12:14:46	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$173	0xae28db…
05-07 12:10:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentova	Coco Gauff	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xb3ff4e…
05-06 13:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x245b86…
05-06 12:56:08	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0xa8c570…
05-06 12:37:14	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x64cafb…
05-05 07:43:20	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 5?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x109246…
05-04 09:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 5?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x832136…
05-03 04:30:46	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x1721b5…
05-02 06:36:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x1dab90…
05-01 10:24:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xe29c29…
04-30 10:09:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x112eed…
04-29 03:35:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xda9a29…
04-28 03:44:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x22eb48…
04-27 10:27:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xda1724…
04-26 04:21:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x57901c…
04-26 04:19:06	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x335f62…