Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

658

Trades

2,515

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$159

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-02 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Politics

43% 20% -$325

Crypto

24% 24% -$579

Other

17% 42% -$60

Sports

16% 42% -$226

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+500	$65	15¢	$75	+$10	10-25 22:13
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+615	$56	12¢	$74	+$18	11-02 07:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+100	$5	4¢	$4	$0	10-23 11:31
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+29	$5	14¢	$4	-$1	06-28 18:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+100	$2	2¢	$2	$0	10-22 18:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	42	$535	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$519	02-28 17:25
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$501	790	790	+0	No	+$20	01-14 17:15
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$464	708	708	+0	No	+$23	01-14 16:05
will the us next strike iran on january 28 2026 et 699	138	$360	11,389	11,761	-372	No	+$43	01-29 22:21
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	33	$244	3,036	900	+2,136	No	-$100	01-15 21:33
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	55	$242	5,805	5,205	+600	No	+$51	01-22 19:36
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	51	$199	5,218	5,218	+0	No	+$46	01-27 21:01
will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	17	$187	8,493	5,511	+2,982	No	+$16	01-20 23:00
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	44	$149	9,217	4,297	+4,921	No	-$73	01-19 01:45
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	71	$149	7,965	8,012	-47	No	+$4	01-28 23:02
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	42	$146	2,379	1,945	+434	No	+$25	01-23 13:42
will the us next strike iran on january 29 2026 et 159	16	$129	4,482	3,300	+1,182	No	-$4	01-29 23:04
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	17	$127	7,850	4,850	+3,000	No	+$22	02-04 20:24
will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	57	$127	5,421	2,267	+3,155	No	-$36	01-19 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:45 UTC	6	$125	100	99	+1	Up	+$70	02-12 13:58
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	62	$119	5,274	4,076	+1,198	No	-$9	01-22 03:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:15 UTC	2	$107	100	100	+0	Down	+$89	02-12 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 21:15 UTC	8	$104	100	98	+2	Down	+$8	02-28 21:16
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	2	$100	200	0	+200	Up	-$100	03-01 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 15:15 UTC	1	$100	500	0	+500	Up	-$100	02-12 15:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	7	$98	600	100	+500	open	—	10-25 22:13
sea udi fio 2026 03 02 total 2pt5	2	$94	65	65	+0	Over	+$36	03-02 21:45
wbc cht jap 2026 03 06	2	$94	49	49	+0	Japan	+$4	03-06 11:37
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	2	$94	447	447	+0	No	-$93	01-15 18:12
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	8	$92	122	37	+85	Kings	+$10	03-10 00:24
Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	2	$81	42	42	+0	Ashlyn Krueger	+$1	10-23 05:52
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	5	$78	592	5	+587	open	—	10-29 16:45
bitcoin up or down february 28 5pm et	2	$75	50	50	+0	Up	+$25	02-28 22:46
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	14	$74	2,300	1,000	+1,300	No	-$4	01-25 23:36
bun pau ein 2026 03 08 ein	5	$70	60	60	+0	No	+$10	03-08 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:51:36	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x39264c…
11-01 04:34:27	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xa9d18a…
10-29 16:45:16	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	13¢	$68	0xe7e314…
10-28 23:32:58	Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0xc25ea9…
10-28 16:56:16	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x1042a2…
10-28 06:36:38	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xd807db…
10-28 02:50:56	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf75445…
10-28 01:18:35	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0x8f6b4f…
10-28 01:18:35	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	SELL	27	54¢	$14	0x1fcaf3…
10-28 01:18:35	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x06517e…
10-28 00:04:42	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x547e1d…
10-28 00:03:09	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfded0c…
10-27 22:44:21	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Nick Hardt	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf2e627…
10-27 01:18:54	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x00a7ec…
10-27 00:08:54	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb4bddc…
10-26 15:19:08	Curitiba: Antonia Vergara vs Eduarda Gomes	Eduarda Gomes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x235a0a…
10-26 15:13:26	Curitiba: Antonia Vergara vs Eduarda Gomes	Antonia Vergara	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9896e…
10-26 12:26:27	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x85b29e…
10-26 02:27:24	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	SELL	57	13¢	$7	0x66d49c…
10-26 01:18:09	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8196f3…
10-26 01:03:51	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xd00459…
10-25 22:13:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	252	13¢	$33	0x9b4304…
10-25 19:35:30	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x758d00…
10-25 19:34:54	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x102807…
10-25 12:10:27	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Alexander Ritschard	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87e83f…
10-25 12:08:42	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Alexander Ritschard	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x63139f…
10-25 12:07:48	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Alexander Ritschard	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7c5932…
10-25 12:06:44	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Alexander Ritschard	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac1990…
10-25 12:00:32	Brest: Robin Catry vs Dimitar Kuzmanov	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x0d66dd…
10-25 11:23:06	Lisbon: Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin	Alexander Ritschard	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x6bc920…
10-25 09:29:47	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf48714…
10-25 09:08:00	Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xff5cbf…
10-24 23:24:45	Virginia Tech vs. Clemson	Clemson	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x340722…
10-24 19:43:14	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	Tennessee	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xed162e…
10-24 19:27:51	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	378	9¢	$34	0x51a39f…
10-24 10:04:44	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	248	13¢	$32	0x95e163…
10-24 06:16:18	Will Trump post "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x1c5820…
10-23 11:31:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x02b180…
10-23 10:16:32	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x374401…
10-23 10:09:03	Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Filippo Romano	Filippo Romano	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd990ef…
10-23 08:21:35	Guangzhou 2: Akira Santillan vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfe7e84…
10-23 07:20:56	Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women	Zimbabwe Women	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfc155c…
10-23 06:12:12	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd48c8c…
10-23 05:52:54	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xab194f…
10-23 05:50:45	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x7483ed…
10-22 19:42:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x072f8a…
10-22 19:03:14	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa07962…
10-22 18:45:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc48b7b…
10-22 16:00:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0xb85b08…
10-21 20:18:48	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x737efc…
10-21 20:18:47	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x5ac20b…
09-14 20:06:31	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xfc997c…
09-14 20:02:22	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xff7637…
09-10 04:28:39	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x5e034c…
09-10 04:27:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x628c89…
09-09 06:03:48	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xb497ee…
09-08 19:24:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfc9d34…
09-08 19:20:03	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6832e4…
09-08 19:12:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x157fe2…
09-08 18:48:01	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x18c48a…
09-08 18:46:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xd83fee…
09-07 16:57:36	Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x409fa5…
09-01 18:40:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0xe1c9f2…
09-01 18:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0xbce70a…
09-01 18:22:06	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x6e603e…
09-01 18:16:13	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x1e3fb6…
09-01 18:12:04	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x14cc09…
09-01 16:34:54	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x6d4d2a…
09-01 10:36:28	Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xd78233…
09-01 09:48:13	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x090b8e…
09-01 01:52:27	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd78446…
08-31 21:18:39	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x55362a…
08-31 21:01:40	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x043bc1…
08-31 20:57:58	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0xd3cc1a…
08-31 20:53:33	Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x00aba4…
08-31 19:43:07	Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x30c15f…
08-31 17:06:33	Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x010dd3…
08-31 14:53:57	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4f9b14…
08-31 14:41:16	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x4b8c1e…
08-31 13:50:27	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$1	0xadd538…
08-31 13:33:49	will there be houthi military action against israel by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xa7d83a…
08-31 13:32:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xbbaf1a…
08-31 13:22:22	Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0xb4efa8…
08-31 13:17:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xeb3b7a…
08-31 13:00:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xeaf519…
08-31 12:52:18	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0xe5c3c8…
08-30 23:04:10	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x4fddb2…
08-30 23:00:27	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xa538cb…
08-30 21:40:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	41	17¢	$7	0x881e45…
08-30 21:20:28	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xf7adc2…
08-30 20:51:58	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x3d45e1…
08-30 20:51:07	Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x7b2ee1…
08-30 20:46:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xc96b68…
08-27 18:41:36	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x7be9a7…
08-26 22:50:09	Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9e1a66…
08-07 09:38:19	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x45db7e…
08-07 09:36:28	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x7cf077…
08-07 09:34:39	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x165ec6…
08-02 22:35:20	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x758c26…
08-02 21:38:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b7584…