Realized P&L (7d)
+$97
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
41.1%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
73
496 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$7.97K
$266.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$537
Open exposure
$2.65K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-08 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
89% 59% +$9,971
Politics
8% 50% -$2,343
Sports
2% 50% +$24
Crypto
0% 100% +$1,331
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? No +773 $745 100¢ $770 +$25 11-07 13:59
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +341 $331 98¢ $335 +$4 11-07 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +300 $262 98¢ $294 +$32 11-06 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +285 $262 92¢ $264 +$1 11-07 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +230 $220 100¢ $230 +$10 11-06 17:16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? No +329 $256 62¢ $204 -$53 11-07 02:03
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026? No +190 $181 96¢ $183 +$2 11-08 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +155 $146 98¢ $152 +$6 11-06 17:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +152 $145 99¢ $151 +$6 11-06 19:29
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $69 66¢ $66 -$2 11-05 17:56