Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,476

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-11 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 0% $-78

Other

27% 100% +$45

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes		+249	$20	6¢	$16	$-4	06-11 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	44	$2.4K	14,336	14,336	+0	open	—	01-25 04:26
Iran leadership change by April 30?	124	$1.6K	6,875	6,089	+786	open	—	04-26 00:49
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	60	$1.6K	2,976	1,632	+1,344	open	—	04-03 16:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	36	$1.3K	2,918	4,003	-1,085	open	—	03-05 09:08
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	96	$1.0K	4,807	5,234	-427	open	—	04-20 10:02
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	18	$860	563	486	+77	open	—	03-26 00:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	58	$803	2,319	2,319	+0	open	—	05-01 20:56
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	39	$760	4,347	2,632	+1,715	open	—	03-06 14:53
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	48	$718	2,827	2,587	+240	open	—	04-22 11:48
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	5	$609	341	341	+0	open	—	04-02 14:04
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	20	$485	531	531	+0	Yes	+$14	04-25 18:30
will iran strike iraq again in march	4	$399	231	231	+0	open	—	03-29 00:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	23	$347	900	900	+0	open	—	04-28 20:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$339	375	981	-607	open	—	02-28 18:39
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$319	352	352	+0	open	—	03-23 22:16
nba lal det 2026 03 23	7	$308	453	250	+203	open	—	03-24 01:31
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	5	$292	169	169	+0	open	—	02-28 23:21
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	12	$286	379	379	+0	open	—	03-26 04:46
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	3	$282	159	159	+0	open	—	03-02 02:11
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	18	$259	947	545	+402	open	—	05-03 19:30
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	14	$254	238	238	+0	open	—	03-26 07:27
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	6	$234	219	219	+0	open	—	04-08 19:39
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	9	$217	343	343	+0	open	—	04-06 03:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	24	$216	1,061	1,161	-100	open	—	04-07 23:00
will iran strike bahrain again in march	6	$214	139	139	+0	open	—	03-29 19:08
will iran strike jordan again in march	5	$212	244	244	+0	open	—	03-27 12:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$210	0	925	-925	open	—	02-28 21:50
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	24	$195	1,354	1,355	-2	open	—	04-16 18:16
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	12	$194	302	302	+0	open	—	04-06 13:39
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	8	$190	532	532	+0	open	—	04-04 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:55:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x5b444e…
06-11 12:55:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xc8b8f7…
06-11 12:49:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x7ce6f6…
06-11 12:48:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$12	0xb4a267…
06-11 12:43:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf572fb…
05-07 19:44:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xf9eb94…
05-07 19:30:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x2e9382…
05-07 19:29:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x35e45c…
05-07 19:28:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x97097b…
05-07 19:28:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfd5cb2…
05-07 19:27:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x1336fc…
05-04 16:03:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x2601ee…
05-03 19:30:28	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	2¢	$8	0x129cab…
05-03 19:29:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	68	12¢	$8	0xe12494…
05-02 21:34:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xbce7d0…
05-01 20:56:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xeaedc3…
05-01 20:56:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe45304…
05-01 15:08:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdd91f0…
05-01 14:56:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x598c82…
05-01 14:52:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	18¢	$8	0xaa9e81…
05-01 14:47:52	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x57c876…
04-30 08:28:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xda3fc3…
04-30 05:53:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe64b52…
04-30 04:45:16	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x198845…
04-28 20:27:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x96031c…
04-28 13:59:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x8c170d…
04-28 13:58:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x30982e…
04-28 13:54:14	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6f49e9…
04-26 00:49:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	389	5¢	$18	0xd3dd5d…
04-26 00:48:52	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x13affe…
04-25 23:25:26	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	210	5¢	$11	0x499b2b…
04-25 23:21:04	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	190	5¢	$10	0x5eb71b…
04-25 21:34:50	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$5	0x20e783…
04-25 18:30:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	95	42¢	$40	0xe0a850…
04-25 18:30:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc11930…
04-25 14:47:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc97932…
04-25 12:56:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x3d2bb0…
04-25 12:48:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	278	1¢	$2	0xfecedf…
04-25 01:55:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x4aaeb8…
04-24 23:01:54	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x19682e…
04-24 22:57:12	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0xb55c23…
04-24 22:56:58	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$3	0xc455f7…
04-24 13:45:38	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xa01c8a…
04-24 11:30:42	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x64c24f…
04-24 11:27:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x18cdfc…
04-24 11:23:54	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x0b81d9…
04-24 11:23:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x893f6f…
04-24 11:13:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xece606…
04-24 11:06:58	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	247	1¢	$2	0x28c8fc…
04-24 11:01:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xe40acb…
04-24 10:58:42	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2d2320…
04-24 10:57:00	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdf564a…
04-24 10:56:58	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x32c362…
04-24 10:56:50	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb21097…
04-24 10:56:42	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe6c5fd…
04-24 10:56:42	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x34406d…
04-24 10:56:34	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x4f81e3…
04-24 10:56:28	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xce312f…
04-24 10:56:28	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x069b4f…
04-24 10:56:24	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa7a618…
04-24 10:56:24	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8c769e…
04-24 10:55:52	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xe0c87a…
04-24 10:51:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xa4e46a…
04-24 10:15:12	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3530c6…
04-24 09:04:36	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	210	6¢	$12	0x126cbf…
04-24 04:35:38	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x41210c…
04-24 04:04:50	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa381f5…
04-24 03:58:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x103018…
04-24 03:55:40	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x14f62d…
04-24 03:40:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x875158…
04-24 02:36:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x005191…
04-23 22:53:38	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x8248c7…
04-23 22:15:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	241	47¢	$113	0xf8d887…
04-23 20:08:02	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xfc7c3a…
04-23 20:06:18	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xaf9549…
04-23 20:04:40	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0xaaadbf…
04-23 20:04:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x777b43…
04-23 20:03:50	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x556ef0…
04-23 17:45:44	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xf3fedd…
04-23 17:23:48	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x549c6a…
04-23 17:21:26	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe9cc17…
04-23 17:10:36	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x1d1e0d…
04-23 15:41:28	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x18e7f1…
04-23 06:08:04	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 23	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0xa6bdbb…
04-22 21:52:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x09dc84…
04-22 21:52:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	666	1¢	$5	0x8a3f6a…
04-22 21:48:48	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x12283f…
04-22 21:43:04	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x72202b…
04-22 15:46:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x8bc220…
04-22 15:46:02	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0x4ba8b4…
04-22 14:11:44	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x4c00b9…
04-22 11:48:26	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	910	0¢	$1	0xa1cc97…
04-22 11:42:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	611	1¢	$9	0x1fd904…
04-21 20:43:04	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x611bc0…
04-21 18:00:22	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$4	0x0a8149…
04-21 17:58:02	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	214	5¢	$11	0xc6260b…
04-21 00:01:08	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x0fba4f…
04-20 23:25:36	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x476df6…
04-20 23:24:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	194	3¢	$5	0x9be2fc…
04-20 23:23:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$16	0x7353d1…