Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,551

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-23 05:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-78

Other

27% 100% +$45

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	44	$2.4K	14,336	14,336	+0	open	—	01-25 04:26
Iran leadership change by April 30?	124	$1.6K	6,875	6,089	+786	open	—	04-26 00:49
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	60	$1.6K	2,976	1,632	+1,344	open	—	04-03 16:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	36	$1.3K	2,918	4,003	-1,085	open	—	03-05 09:08
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	96	$1.0K	4,807	5,234	-427	open	—	04-20 10:02
will israel take military action in gaza on march 25 2026	18	$860	563	486	+77	open	—	03-26 00:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	58	$803	2,319	2,319	+0	open	—	05-01 20:56
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	39	$760	4,347	2,632	+1,715	open	—	03-06 14:53
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	48	$718	2,827	2,587	+240	open	—	04-22 11:48
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	5	$609	341	341	+0	open	—	04-02 14:04
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	20	$485	531	531	+0	Yes	+$14	04-25 18:30
will iran strike iraq again in march	4	$399	231	231	+0	open	—	03-29 00:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	23	$347	900	900	+0	open	—	04-28 20:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$339	375	981	-607	open	—	02-28 18:39
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$319	352	352	+0	open	—	03-23 22:16
nba lal det 2026 03 23	7	$308	453	250	+203	open	—	03-24 01:31
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	5	$292	169	169	+0	open	—	02-28 23:21
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	12	$286	379	379	+0	open	—	03-26 04:46
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	3	$282	159	159	+0	open	—	03-02 02:11
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	18	$259	947	545	+402	open	—	05-03 19:30
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	14	$254	238	238	+0	open	—	03-26 07:27
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	6	$234	219	219	+0	open	—	04-08 19:39
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	9	$217	343	343	+0	open	—	04-06 03:19
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	24	$216	1,061	1,161	-100	open	—	04-07 23:00
will iran strike bahrain again in march	6	$214	139	139	+0	open	—	03-29 19:08
will iran strike jordan again in march	5	$212	244	244	+0	open	—	03-27 12:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$210	0	925	-925	open	—	02-28 21:50
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	24	$195	1,354	1,355	-2	open	—	04-16 18:16
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	12	$194	302	302	+0	open	—	04-06 13:39
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	8	$190	532	532	+0	open	—	04-04 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:35:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x705fb2…
07-23 13:13:12	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1be4ca…
07-23 13:12:28	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x194b07…
07-23 05:33:33	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xac09eb…
07-23 04:19:10	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6bd042…
07-23 04:09:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xcf958a…
07-23 04:05:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	351	6¢	$20	0x46c7e2…
07-22 20:53:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$2	0x5b781e…
07-22 20:01:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x73867f…
07-22 18:11:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x59875b…
07-22 18:03:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	236	4¢	$9	0xcc537d…
07-21 10:22:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x658a57…
07-20 18:07:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	95	3¢	$2	0x2d7805…
07-20 13:34:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3d9948…
07-19 23:19:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x47718b…
07-19 23:15:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x31b546…
07-19 23:14:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb0f33e…
07-19 23:12:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf340d5…
07-19 23:05:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x8f1773…
07-19 23:01:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xcb1998…
07-19 19:57:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xd0b0a4…
07-19 12:41:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0x8f0b51…
07-19 11:32:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x814cae…
07-19 11:27:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xa5d459…
07-19 01:37:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	151	14¢	$21	0x328160…
07-19 01:29:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xa05c95…
07-18 23:22:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x33bedf…
07-18 22:31:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x172ad6…
07-18 22:29:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xb9ac9d…
07-18 22:19:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd7bc06…
07-18 22:08:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x93fd81…
07-18 22:05:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xc61340…
07-18 21:53:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x152c5a…
07-18 21:47:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x34d4ad…
07-18 21:07:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	83	10¢	$9	0xa3cb01…
07-18 21:00:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	SELL	336	1¢	$2	0x9acf70…
07-18 20:42:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	No	BUY	336	1¢	$2	0xa6ce24…
07-18 20:20:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x3e0aec…
07-17 19:16:25	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xeddfd0…
07-17 19:16:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x94e489…
07-17 16:33:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0e911d…
07-17 14:32:27	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x367eee…
07-17 14:31:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x563609…
07-17 01:22:17	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb57508…
07-17 01:22:17	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x0300c1…
07-17 00:56:02	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x3b7104…
07-17 00:55:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	109	8¢	$9	0xf86197…
07-17 00:54:49	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x65c22d…
07-17 00:54:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xa5eb96…
07-17 00:54:04	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x3a4c0f…
07-17 00:47:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xbdc062…
07-17 00:07:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xf2f6d9…
07-17 00:04:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x9fa4ff…
07-16 23:51:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$3	0xc7c023…
07-16 13:48:38	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	197	7¢	$13	0x29c237…
07-16 13:41:17	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x5304f9…
07-16 13:36:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xcd42dc…
07-16 13:33:05	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x9737bc…
07-16 11:27:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x0ae698…
07-16 10:00:41	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x80e31f…
07-16 09:55:11	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x40664d…
07-16 09:50:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x43250b…
07-16 09:26:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0xb95ac8…
07-13 22:53:56	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x147677…
07-13 20:11:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x2bcca3…
07-13 19:42:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9ea4c5…
07-13 19:38:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	199	4¢	$7	0xdbf23c…
07-13 19:33:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	45	18¢	$8	0xfad22e…
07-09 18:28:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0xd66657…
07-09 14:27:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0xb683a2…
07-09 13:32:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x896ffb…
07-09 13:32:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6fd3f1…
06-14 21:35:30	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x0deb12…
06-14 19:02:52	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$5	0xc47c98…
06-13 13:12:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	249	2¢	$5	0x6dd42b…
06-11 12:55:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x5b444e…
06-11 12:55:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xc8b8f7…
06-11 12:49:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x7ce6f6…
06-11 12:48:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$12	0xb4a267…
06-11 12:43:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xf572fb…
05-07 19:44:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0xf9eb94…
05-07 19:30:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x2e9382…
05-07 19:29:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x35e45c…
05-07 19:28:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x97097b…
05-07 19:28:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfd5cb2…
05-07 19:27:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x1336fc…
05-04 16:03:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x2601ee…
05-03 19:30:28	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	2¢	$8	0x129cab…
05-03 19:29:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	68	12¢	$8	0xe12494…
05-02 21:34:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xbce7d0…
05-01 20:56:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xeaedc3…
05-01 20:56:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe45304…
05-01 15:08:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xdd91f0…
05-01 14:56:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x598c82…
05-01 14:52:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	47	18¢	$8	0xaa9e81…
05-01 14:47:52	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x57c876…
04-30 08:28:38	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xda3fc3…
04-30 05:53:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe64b52…
04-30 04:45:16	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x198845…
04-28 20:27:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x96031c…