Grim-Triad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

938

Trades

4,210

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-20 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 40% $-117

Other

4% 0% $-2

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$222	118	118	+0	open	—	07-20 16:48
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	4	$174	100	100	+0	open	—	06-17 12:47
btc updown 5m 1780901400	2	$119	80	80	+0	open	—	06-08 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	14	$118	154	154	+0	Up	+$8	05-13 05:49
btc updown 5m 1780900200	2	$115	75	75	+0	open	—	06-08 06:35
btc updown 5m 1780896000	2	$113	82	82	+0	open	—	06-08 05:24
btc updown 5m 1780894800	2	$108	78	78	+0	open	—	06-08 05:01
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 14:25
btc updown 5m 1780807200	2	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	06-07 04:43
btc updown 5m 1780907100	2	$92	74	74	+0	open	—	06-08 08:26
btc updown 5m 1780898400	2	$89	61	61	+0	open	—	06-08 06:02
btc updown 5m 1780900800	2	$85	59	59	+0	open	—	06-08 06:43
btc updown 5m 1780761000	6	$78	60	60	+0	open	—	06-06 15:54
btc updown 5m 1780760700	6	$76	54	54	+0	open	—	06-06 15:48
btc updown 5m 1780763100	2	$71	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 16:28
btc updown 5m 1780761900	4	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 16:09
btc updown 5m 1780765200	4	$68	57	57	+0	open	—	06-06 17:04
btc updown 5m 1780764600	5	$68	66	48	+19	open	—	06-06 16:54
btc updown 5m 1780892700	2	$64	49	49	+0	open	—	06-08 04:26
btc updown 5m 1780762200	3	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 16:13
btc updown 5m 1780894500	2	$56	78	78	+0	open	—	06-08 04:59
btc updown 5m 1780763400	4	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	06-06 16:34
will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	2	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	07-15 13:36
california homebuying loan program proposition	2	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	07-04 05:38
btc updown 5m 1780762500	3	$51	50	38	+12	open	—	06-06 16:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$49	37	82	-45	open	—	06-01 12:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	3	$49	34	34	+0	open	—	06-03 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$48	55	50	+5	Up	+$6	05-13 03:34
btc updown 5m 1780898100	2	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	06-08 05:58
btc updown 5m 1780761600	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:48:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0xcefe86…
07-15 13:36:07	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0xfc7b55…
07-14 17:31:50	will trump accuse china of election interference by july 16 20260714013930794	No	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xec702f…
07-07 05:26:41	btc updown 5m 1783401900	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xaaa5e5…
07-06 07:49:40	btc updown 15m 1783323900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7aa7f9…
07-06 07:49:38	btc updown 15m 1783323900	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xfde1f0…
07-06 07:48:08	btc updown 15m 1783323900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x81df6c…
07-06 07:34:49	btc updown 15m 1783323000	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4dad79…
07-06 07:30:20	btc updown 15m 1783323000	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf6eed2…
07-06 07:15:05	btc updown 15m 1783322100	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x73eea5…
07-06 07:00:50	btc updown 15m 1783321200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x23c814…
07-06 06:47:04	btc updown 15m 1783320300	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x206639…
07-06 06:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783320300	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x646578…
07-06 06:32:37	btc updown 15m 1783319400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x90f99c…
07-06 06:30:35	btc updown 15m 1783319400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd9c55e…
07-06 06:30:35	btc updown 15m 1783319400	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x7f4fdd…
07-06 06:17:31	btc updown 15m 1783318500	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x33ec6c…
07-06 06:15:35	btc updown 15m 1783318500	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x517044…
07-06 06:01:55	btc updown 15m 1783317600	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe1f0e6…
07-06 06:00:22	btc updown 15m 1783317600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe7d138…
07-06 05:48:29	btc updown 15m 1783316700	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8e4fef…
07-06 05:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783316700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x61fbae…
07-06 05:31:14	btc updown 15m 1783315800	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc8f36…
07-06 05:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783315800	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x251cfb…
07-06 05:18:08	btc updown 15m 1783314900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x05169a…
07-06 05:16:11	btc updown 15m 1783314900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9cad09…
07-06 05:01:26	btc updown 15m 1783314000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcde4ad…
07-06 04:47:25	btc updown 15m 1783313100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x09bf0c…
07-06 04:31:26	btc updown 15m 1783312200	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x909bcc…
07-06 04:31:04	btc updown 15m 1783312200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa35e76…
07-06 04:20:26	btc updown 15m 1783311300	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1f8473…
07-06 04:15:13	btc updown 15m 1783311300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x163750…
07-06 04:07:49	btc updown 15m 1783310400	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x703852…
07-06 04:00:05	btc updown 15m 1783310400	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd5d859…
07-06 03:51:44	btc updown 15m 1783309500	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2ecd8d…
07-06 03:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783309500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x88677f…
07-06 03:31:49	btc updown 15m 1783308600	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9569ae…
07-06 03:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783308600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x096b6a…
07-06 03:16:37	btc updown 15m 1783307700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x69b4ce…
07-06 03:15:40	btc updown 15m 1783307700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xeae4e8…
07-06 03:02:08	btc updown 15m 1783306800	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5abdc3…
07-06 03:00:38	btc updown 15m 1783306800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe31678…
07-06 02:51:14	btc updown 15m 1783305900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6248fc…
07-06 02:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783305900	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6d4ac4…
07-06 02:31:46	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x624fa5…
07-06 02:31:37	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x29cb42…
07-06 02:16:19	btc updown 15m 1783304100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd57345…
07-06 02:15:04	btc updown 15m 1783304100	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8eb2c9…
07-06 02:07:22	btc updown 15m 1783303200	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa88615…
07-06 02:00:04	btc updown 15m 1783303200	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x99127f…
07-06 01:45:19	btc updown 15m 1783302300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x98858e…
07-06 01:31:40	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3cfbb5…
07-06 01:30:17	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x72ad8f…
07-06 01:16:44	btc updown 15m 1783300500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb23047…
07-06 01:15:13	btc updown 15m 1783300500	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x314a40…
07-06 01:11:02	btc updown 15m 1783299600	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6d8b91…
07-06 01:00:31	btc updown 15m 1783299600	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2ad662…
07-06 00:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783298700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdc367c…
07-06 00:34:05	btc updown 15m 1783297800	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1897cb…
07-06 00:30:29	btc updown 15m 1783297800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6b2093…
07-06 00:30:29	btc updown 15m 1783297800	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x45a435…
07-06 00:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783296900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x375ef6…
07-06 00:02:46	btc updown 15m 1783296000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x080242…
07-06 00:00:20	btc updown 15m 1783296000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf9cc5…
07-05 23:32:25	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf22788…
07-05 23:30:59	btc updown 15m 1783294200	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf68ef…
07-05 23:15:10	btc updown 15m 1783293300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a2397…
07-05 23:01:49	btc updown 15m 1783292400	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc45a47…
07-05 23:00:37	btc updown 15m 1783292400	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe6b1b7…
07-05 22:45:05	btc updown 15m 1783291500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf5fd4c…
07-05 22:33:29	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc73870…
07-05 22:30:25	btc updown 15m 1783290600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2144ed…
07-05 22:16:28	btc updown 15m 1783289700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9941e…
07-05 22:15:13	btc updown 15m 1783289700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0b1a43…
07-05 22:03:52	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf06e3e…
07-05 22:00:23	btc updown 15m 1783288800	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x01aaad…
07-05 21:55:07	btc updown 15m 1783287900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaf197f…
07-05 21:45:08	btc updown 15m 1783287900	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc1afb9…
07-05 21:32:22	btc updown 15m 1783287000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ae2aa…
07-05 21:30:10	btc updown 15m 1783287000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb168ab…
07-05 21:16:13	btc updown 15m 1783286100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x897514…
07-05 21:14:44	btc updown 15m 1783285200	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x52514f…
07-05 21:14:44	btc updown 15m 1783285200	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x10e8b5…
07-05 21:12:59	btc updown 15m 1783285200	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1aa9f7…
07-05 20:54:56	btc updown 15m 1783284300	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd1cd43…
07-05 20:46:41	btc updown 15m 1783284300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfb65a1…
07-05 20:32:08	btc updown 15m 1783283400	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8dee01…
07-05 20:30:05	btc updown 15m 1783283400	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x55d2b2…
07-05 20:00:37	btc updown 15m 1783281600	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa209f1…
07-05 19:49:07	btc updown 15m 1783280700	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4e751c…
07-05 19:46:05	btc updown 15m 1783280700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd7cca0…
07-05 19:31:52	btc updown 15m 1783279800	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7624e1…
07-05 19:30:19	btc updown 15m 1783279800	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28ad2b…
07-05 19:19:11	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5509b0…
07-05 19:15:07	btc updown 15m 1783278900	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb5e13a…
07-05 19:05:17	btc updown 15m 1783278000	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x741307…
07-05 19:02:29	btc updown 15m 1783278000	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x45626f…
07-05 18:50:16	btc updown 15m 1783277100	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x40bb3a…
07-05 18:32:16	btc updown 15m 1783276200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaa983f…
07-05 18:30:26	btc updown 15m 1783276200	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x972c1f…