Jam-Packed-Probability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$917

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

82% 63% $-7

Sports

12% 78% +$1

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No		-3	$-0	10¢	$-0	+$0	05-29 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
chi ron hai 2026 03 15 ron	4	$48	40	20	+20	open	—	03-15 13:21
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	3	$32	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 12:20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	05-06 13:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$24	60	0	+60	open	—	04-28 09:48
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$18	26	0	+26	open	—	03-15 18:56
fif nir gui 2026 06 04 btts	3	$15	19	10	+9	open	—	06-04 16:38
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	04-15 07:17
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	04-15 07:17
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-03 19:19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 16:33
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 19:20
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 draw	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	04-08 12:20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 16:32
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	16	0	+16	Under	$-10	05-06 13:21
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	1	$9	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 11:09
Spread: China PR (-1.5)	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-05 13:05
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 23:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 16:03
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	06-05 10:30
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	3	$6	6	3	+2	open	—	06-07 20:25
Spread: France (-1.5)	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	06-04 09:51
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 12:57
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 219pt5	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 20:55
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 5pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-04 08:39
chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 ron	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	04-12 07:00
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-03 18:59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-16 10:28
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-16 19:24
fif esp irq 2026 06 04 btts	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-04 18:24
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-04 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:17:25	fif arg isl 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x693d21…
06-09 10:09:36	fif hun kaz 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x0daeff…
06-09 09:49:13	fif hun kaz 2026 06 09 spread home 2pt5	Kazakhstan	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x27ca57…
06-09 09:36:54	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 spread home 1pt5	Thailand	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4fde89…
06-08 20:55:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x29e1cc…
06-08 20:51:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x38727a…
06-08 20:48:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 5pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeb9ac5…
06-08 20:46:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points deaaron fox 15pt5	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xe07899…
06-08 20:27:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 1h total 114pt5	Under	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5d1301…
06-08 20:26:46	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcd3021…
06-08 11:14:16	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbf0c76…
06-08 11:13:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbcd73e…
06-08 11:12:42	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x25fa22…
06-08 10:24:01	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x869442…
06-08 10:23:40	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x0f280d…
06-08 10:21:37	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x27f9b7…
06-08 10:21:21	Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Uzbekistan	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfaba71…
06-08 09:57:22	Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x085144…
06-08 09:56:49	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Peru	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xce764b…
06-07 22:29:30	Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd52a6c…
06-07 20:25:34	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4ada9c…
06-07 20:25:09	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xbcddfb…
06-07 20:12:58	Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x837eb7…
06-07 20:11:42	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x411234…
06-07 16:29:48	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x76891d…
06-07 16:25:04	lol al blg 2026 06 08 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3ab528…
06-07 13:53:22	Spread: Denmark (-1.5)	Ukraine	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x48b668…
06-07 13:53:09	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x68df24…
06-07 13:30:43	Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x65de84…
06-07 13:30:34	Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x10baf8…
06-07 12:36:58	Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3d0118…
06-07 12:24:40	Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf5443d…
06-07 08:05:54	Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x12f3bc…
06-07 08:05:43	Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xee9d1d…
06-06 20:59:40	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xedd045…
06-06 20:59:18	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3e2991…
06-06 20:36:40	Spread: England (-2.5)	New Zealand	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb17d94…
06-06 20:20:42	Spread: England (-1.5)	New Zealand	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x6d6a1d…
06-06 20:20:07	England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6ba23b…
06-06 20:12:09	Spread: England (-1.5)	New Zealand	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaaeba5…
06-06 19:13:21	Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Portugal	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfd3ca3…
06-06 19:05:22	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x683d8f…
06-06 17:25:19	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	United States	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xea43dc…
06-06 16:57:57	United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x631252…
06-06 16:57:43	United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x5e409f…
06-06 14:46:15	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa0fbad…
06-06 12:31:43	Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Portugal	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa33a84…
06-06 12:16:09	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x685b1e…
06-06 09:18:06	Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa1251a…
06-06 09:16:40	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x63bbb6…
06-05 20:58:58	fif pur ksa 2026 06 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe0f452…
06-05 20:58:48	fif pur ksa 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Puerto Rico	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbcef3f…
06-05 20:08:16	Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x193be7…
06-05 20:07:55	Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)	Nicaragua	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe1d491…
06-05 19:22:21	Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x29a948…
06-05 19:21:54	Spread: Canada (-1.5)	Republic of Ireland	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x39bbf8…
06-05 19:15:49	Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d8a27…
06-05 16:23:36	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x183b8a…
06-05 16:23:21	Spread: Slovakia (-1.5)	Montenegro	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6d962b…
06-05 16:22:52	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7cd410…
06-05 13:19:30	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xb23cd4…
06-05 13:05:01	Spread: China PR (-1.5)	Singapore	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x45fdeb…
06-05 11:50:10	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4125a2…
06-05 10:30:46	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xebd7fe…
06-05 09:40:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x75ae09…
06-04 19:13:16	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc62bc3…
06-04 18:24:09	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 btts	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0d63b6…
06-04 17:43:06	Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)	Slovenia	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xc813c4…
06-04 17:25:16	Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x617eb6…
06-04 16:38:33	fif nir gui 2026 06 04 btts	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xe6a2ca…
06-04 16:31:13	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x71d7e7…
06-04 16:27:49	fif nir gui 2026 06 04 btts	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc3abaf…
06-04 14:27:18	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35397e…
06-04 14:27:00	Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc7b1d0…
06-04 12:30:13	fif nir gui 2026 06 04 btts	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x09cff4…
06-04 12:10:49	Mexico vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x20dcd6…
06-04 12:09:30	Spread: Mexico (-1.5)	Serbia	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa9ad17…
06-04 09:55:39	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x676a11…
06-04 09:51:55	Spread: France (-1.5)	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x1ce9a1…
06-04 09:36:57	Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa11fba…
06-04 09:36:31	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x06ce32…
06-04 08:40:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 217pt5	Under	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x97282b…
06-04 08:39:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x98c418…
06-04 08:39:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xacf149…
06-04 08:08:39	bkcba sha3 zhe 2026 06 05	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7de788…
06-03 19:49:40	Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xfae248…
06-03 19:48:51	Spread: China PR (-1.5)	Singapore	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x70e75d…
06-03 19:20:00	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x402c2f…
06-03 19:19:39	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x198c5d…
06-03 18:59:36	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5ed427…
06-03 18:30:39	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdacb18…
06-03 18:30:25	LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4a9e18…
05-29 17:01:12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d1d01…
05-29 16:58:36	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3f6837…
05-29 16:57:25	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x903e5d…
05-29 16:33:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xba744e…
05-29 16:32:27	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdecf41…
05-29 16:03:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x152557…
05-29 15:35:10	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x92a28b…
05-16 17:44:42	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe1cd08…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	300	$9.22M	38,768	06-10 02:59
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	274	$835.9K	6,122	06-09 01:51
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	263	$6.34M	56,344	06-10 02:40
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	214	$38.8K	5,024	06-05 13:27
Trivial-Player 0xbfd7…f0bf	204	$126.8K	3,490	06-10 02:57
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	203	$148.1K	1,626	06-10 03:00
Ornery-Placement 0x8968…c3c1	201	$2.87K	1,651	06-10 00:13
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	197	$2.01M	13,046	05-17 10:10