Optimistic-Salon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-25 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

33% 100% +$0

Crypto

30% 100% +$0

Tech

30% 100% +$2

Sports

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-25 22:03
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	$0	10-25 22:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$10	9	1	+8	No	+$0	07-25 19:51
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-24 20:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$8	8	1	+7	Yes	+$1	03-03 13:52
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	08-18 20:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	08-18 20:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	09-17 19:59
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	10-25 22:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-17 19:59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	10-25 22:03
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	01-16 18:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-20 20:30
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-03 13:54
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-25 19:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-23 12:58
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-23 12:59
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-23 12:59
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-23 12:59
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-23 12:59
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-23 19:59
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-23 19:59
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-23 19:59
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-23 19:59
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-23 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:03:48	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x261fbf…
10-25 22:03:39	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7028d1…
09-17 19:59:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x66205d…
09-17 19:59:33	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x132a23…
08-18 20:36:54	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa29509…
08-18 20:36:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe8d500…
07-25 19:52:46	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93dd51…
07-25 19:51:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2f5817…
07-20 18:22:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09b92b…
06-20 20:30:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ab6aa…
05-23 19:59:51	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1ed90…
05-23 19:59:39	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d0a6c…
05-23 19:59:32	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1905bd…
05-23 19:59:21	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61ee1a…
05-23 19:59:13	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x173a08…
04-23 12:59:28	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b855e…
04-23 12:59:20	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d18e5…
04-23 12:59:12	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65d5c6…
04-23 12:59:02	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8592f…
04-23 12:58:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc7bd2…
03-24 20:43:39	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x336d48…
03-03 13:54:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06c671…
03-03 13:52:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb15b96…
02-06 21:51:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xac9ffd…
01-16 18:16:00	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x9114d1…