(anonymous) 0xff52f3…a24546
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$374
Unrealized P&L
+$2.18K
Hit rate
39.8%
Resolved (30d)
19
Trades (30d)
73
1,196 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.10K
$65.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.14K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 10-26 20:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
52% 45% +$5,862
Politics
46% 40% -$239
Tech
1% 100% +$308
Sports
0% 0% -$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +1,000 $300 73¢ $730 +$430 08-31 02:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +630 $252 96¢ $602 +$350 09-13 07:36
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 No +650 $260 80¢ $517 +$257 08-19 15:14
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 97¢ $486 +$236 10-01 18:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 96¢ $480 +$230 08-23 09:20
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +600 $300 80¢ $477 +$177 10-07 05:29
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +500 $250 94¢ $468 +$218 09-26 21:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +670 $301 63¢ $424 +$123 10-04 16:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +600 $300 70¢ $420 +$120 10-19 15:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +500 $250 76¢ $382 +$132 09-25 19:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $250 70¢ $352 +$102 09-22 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +500 $250 68¢ $342 +$92 10-21 22:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +500 $250 66¢ $332 +$82 10-26 13:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +510 $250 55¢ $280 +$31 09-21 04:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +500 $250 51¢ $255 +$5 10-20 22:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +390 $195 55¢ $213 +$18 10-19 15:55
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +560 $252 36¢ $202 -$50 10-17 00:24
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +400 $200 22¢ $86 -$114 08-30 00:57
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +780 $100 10¢ $74 -$26 10-26 20:08
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +630 $252 2¢ $14 -$238 10-11 02:48