(anonymous) 0xff52f3…a24546
hot
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$4.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.30K
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved (90d)
74
Trades (90d)
364
1,199 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.5K
$65.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.21K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 10-29 09:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
53% 45% +$5,862
Politics
46% 40% -$239
Tech
1% 100% +$308
Sports
0% 0% -$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +1,000 $300 73¢ $730 +$430 08-31 02:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +630 $252 98¢ $617 +$365 09-13 07:36
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 No +650 $260 82¢ $533 +$273 08-19 15:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 98¢ $490 +$240 08-23 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +600 $300 82¢ $489 +$189 10-19 15:57
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 98¢ $488 +$238 10-01 18:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +500 $250 96¢ $482 +$232 09-26 21:59
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +600 $300 80¢ $477 +$177 10-07 05:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +500 $250 87¢ $435 +$185 10-26 13:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +510 $250 84¢ $426 +$176 09-21 04:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +500 $250 72¢ $358 +$108 09-25 19:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $250 72¢ $358 +$108 09-22 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +500 $250 68¢ $340 +$90 10-21 22:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +500 $250 46¢ $232 -$18 10-20 22:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +390 $195 58¢ $228 +$33 10-19 15:55
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +810 $251 26¢ $207 -$45 10-29 09:22
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +560 $252 36¢ $200 -$52 10-17 00:24
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +780 $100 8¢ $59 -$42 10-26 20:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +400 $200 14¢ $56 -$144 08-30 00:57
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +630 $252 1¢ $9 -$243 10-11 02:48