Realized P&L (7d)
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$2.34K
Hit rate
22.5%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
34
1,197 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.21K
$65.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.31K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 10-27 20:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
52% 45% +$5,862
Politics
46% 40% -$239
Tech
1% 100% +$308
Sports
0% 0% -$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +1,000 $300 72¢ $715 +$415 08-31 02:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +630 $252 98¢ $614 +$362 09-13 07:36
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 No +650 $260 80¢ $517 +$257 08-19 15:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 98¢ $488 +$238 08-23 09:20
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +600 $300 80¢ $483 +$183 10-07 05:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +500 $250 97¢ $483 +$233 10-01 18:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +500 $250 96¢ $480 +$230 09-26 21:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +600 $300 73¢ $438 +$138 10-19 15:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +500 $250 84¢ $422 +$172 10-26 13:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +510 $250 82¢ $421 +$171 09-21 04:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +670 $301 61¢ $408 +$107 10-04 16:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +500 $250 74¢ $372 +$122 09-25 19:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +500 $250 72¢ $358 +$108 09-22 10:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +500 $250 66¢ $328 +$78 10-21 22:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +500 $250 48¢ $242 -$8 10-20 22:15
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +560 $252 37¢ $206 -$46 10-17 00:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +390 $195 52¢ $205 +$10 10-19 15:55
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +780 $100 9¢ $70 -$30 10-26 20:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +400 $200 12¢ $46 -$154 08-30 00:57
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +630 $252 2¢ $10 -$242 10-11 02:48