Realized P&L
-$7.64K
Unrealized P&L
-$210
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
101
Trades
819
lifetime
Volume
$330.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$403
Open exposure
$2.27K
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 06-10 14:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
55%
84%
+$962
Crypto
24%
89%
-$10,380
Other
20%
75%
+$1,619
Tech
0%
100%
+$115
Sports
0%
100%
+$46
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -1,030 | -$886 | 97¢ | $-1001 | -$115 | 06-10 14:08 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -500 | -$466 | 98¢ | $-491 | -$24 | 06-10 14:08 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | -400 | -$344 | 97¢ | $-389 | -$45 | 06-10 14:08 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | -200 | -$180 | 96¢ | $-192 | -$12 | 06-10 14:08 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -100 | -$91 | 98¢ | $-98 | -$7 | 06-10 14:09 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | -100 | -$92 | 98¢ | $-98 | -$6 | 06-10 14:08 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 14 | $84.9K | 81,611 | 4,138 | +77,473 | No | +$751 | 02-21 01:05 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et | 36 | $76.5K | 76,664 | 0 | +76,664 | No | +$193 | 02-22 04:34 |
| spx up or down on february 20 2026 | 40 | $55.3K | 55,914 | 2,914 | +52,999 | Up | +$2,973 | 02-20 20:34 |
| bitcoin up or down february 20 12pm et | 53 | $35.9K | 36,320 | 0 | +36,320 | Down | +$380 | 02-20 17:56 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et | 9 | $16.1K | 14,603 | 1,653 | +12,951 | No | +$120 | 02-21 01:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 10:45 UTC | 63 | $9.1K | 10,000 | 5,893 | +4,107 | Down | -$8,887 | 02-23 10:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC | 13 | $4.4K | 4,558 | 0 | +4,558 | Up | +$179 | 02-22 09:48 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:05 UTC | 24 | $3.3K | 3,313 | 0 | +3,313 | Down | +$34 | 02-15 10:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 09:45 UTC | 15 | $2.9K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | Down | +$90 | 02-15 09:58 |
| nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52 | 16 | $2.9K | 3,085 | 0 | +3,085 | Yes | +$229 | 02-23 11:50 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 10:30 UTC | 82 | $2.8K | 3,500 | 0 | +3,500 | Up | -$2,785 | 02-15 10:44 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 6 | $2.7K | 2,243 | 504 | +1,739 | No | +$30 | 02-22 09:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 09:30 UTC | 26 | $2.7K | 2,741 | 0 | +2,741 | Down | +$76 | 02-15 09:44 |
| lol t1 dk 2026 02 22 | 30 | $1.9K | 2,041 | 401 | +1,640 | Dplus KIA | -$1,701 | 02-22 12:32 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 10:15 UTC | 6 | $1.9K | 1,874 | 0 | +1,874 | Up | +$20 | 02-15 10:29 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 22:00 UTC | 13 | $1.6K | 872 | 869 | +3 | Down | +$132 | 02-11 22:16 |
| bitcoin up or down february 11 4pm et | 7 | $1.5K | 754 | 760 | -6 | Up | +$11 | 02-11 22:06 |
| meta up or down on february 11 2026 | 6 | $1.2K | 622 | 702 | -80 | Down | +$109 | 02-11 21:06 |
| ethereum up or down february 11 12pm et | 2 | $1.2K | 600 | 600 | +0 | Up | +$17 | 02-11 18:16 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 08:30 UTC | 8 | $1.1K | 611 | 617 | -6 | Up | +$141 | 02-11 08:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:30 UTC | 18 | $1.1K | 1,090 | 0 | +1,090 | Down | +$15 | 02-15 10:34 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 7 | $1.0K | 1,028 | 0 | +1,028 | No | +$23 | 02-24 10:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:00 UTC | 2 | $990 | 500 | 500 | +0 | Down | +$0 | 02-11 09:15 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 5 | $990 | 500 | 500 | +0 | No | +$4 | 02-20 09:32 |
| ethereum up or down february 11 2am et | 6 | $958 | 484 | 484 | +0 | Up | +$9 | 02-11 08:37 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $886 | 0 | 1,030 | -1,030 | open | — | 06-10 14:08 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-10 13:00 UTC | 1 | $682 | 700 | 0 | +700 | Up | +$18 | 02-10 16:31 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 5 | $682 | 700 | 0 | +700 | No | +$18 | 02-09 07:13 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:00 UTC | 2 | $670 | 684 | 0 | +684 | Up | +$14 | 02-11 21:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 11:00 UTC | 31 | $652 | 673 | 0 | +673 | Up | +$21 | 02-22 11:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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