(anonymous) 0xffdd66…e7547f Create alert
bot new 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$680
Unrealized P&L
+$124
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved (7d)
257
Trades (7d)
1,645
1,645 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$9.70K
$9.70K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$990
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-10 14:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
76% 54% -$547
Sports
15% 47% -$86
Politics
6% 75% -$47
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 453 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +234 $211 100¢ $234 +$22 11-09 08:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +97 $75 84¢ $81 +$5 11-09 14:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +64 $60 97¢ $62 +$2 11-06 23:59
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +128 $57 45¢ $58 +$1 11-06 03:23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +68 $45 72¢ $48 +$3 11-07 13:49
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +43 $5 100¢ $43 +$39 11-07 01:08
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +38 $30 95¢ $36 +$6 11-09 15:12
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +233 $25 15¢ $35 +$10 11-06 17:01
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +39 $35 86¢ $34 -$1 11-06 01:24
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +29 $27 94¢ $27 +$0 11-08 07:37
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +26 $5 100¢ $26 +$21 11-06 10:37
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +142 $19 16¢ $23 +$4 11-07 12:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +26 $24 90¢ $23 -$1 11-09 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +106 $25 22¢ $23 -$2 11-06 06:39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Vitality +28 $20 70¢ $20 $0 11-08 12:26
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +23 $20 86¢ $19 $0 11-09 17:54
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? Yes +23 $5 85¢ $19 +$14 11-06 12:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +78 $10 23¢ $18 +$8 11-05 23:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +114 $37 16¢ $18 -$20 11-09 09:26
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) MOUZ +34 $17 50¢ $17 -$1 11-09 02:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +18 $14 84¢ $15 +$1 11-09 18:33
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) FURIA +32 $14 44¢ $14 +$0 11-09 03:43
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A FURIA +19 $13 72¢ $14 +$0 11-09 10:39
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +17 $13 78¢ $13 +$0 11-07 11:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $11 97¢ $13 +$2 11-08 06:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +18 $10 72¢ $13 +$2 11-06 21:06
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +13 $9 98¢ $12 +$4 11-07 07:19
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +12 $10 91¢ $11 +$1 11-06 15:48
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Spirit +19 $10 54¢ $10 +$0 11-08 12:06
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? Yes +95 $10 11¢ $10 +$0 11-06 17:20