Writhing-Embellishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

167

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-04 00:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

52% 94% +$39

Other

29% 100% +$13

Crypto

17% 100% +$23

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$738	389	389	+0	No	+$9	10-28 11:07
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	4	$330	165	165	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 18:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$321	206	206	+0	No	+$21	11-04 00:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	2	$306	158	158	+0	No	+$1	09-11 23:24
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$296	148	148	+0	No	+$0	10-02 10:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$242	185	92	+92	Yes	+$6	10-25 23:40
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$181	92	92	+0	No	+$2	08-31 13:47
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$169	159	159	+0	Yes	+$3	09-10 00:06
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	4	$158	159	0	+159	No	+$0	09-16 23:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	1	$158	159	0	+159	No	+$1	09-05 15:28
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	1	$155	158	0	+158	Yes	+$3	09-10 18:49
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$148	150	0	+150	No	+$2	08-16 20:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$146	148	0	+148	No	+$2	08-14 14:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	1	$143	143	0	+143	No	+$1	08-06 13:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$141	146	0	+146	No	+$5	08-12 05:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	08-10 11:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$136	137	0	+137	No	+$1	08-20 23:31
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	1	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$0	08-04 18:34
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$117	118	0	+118	No	+$0	06-06 01:05
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in August?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$0	08-31 16:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	2	$98	49	49	+0	No	+$0	08-31 19:43
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$97	98	0	+98	No	+$0	05-30 14:08
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$84	86	0	+86	Yes	+$3	05-22 01:50
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$83	84	0	+84	Yes	+$1	05-21 06:44
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$72	83	0	+83	Yes	+$11	07-25 06:18
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$46	107	107	+0	No	+$1	10-22 16:43
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	05-16 08:24
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-14 03:23
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	09-30 23:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	08-31 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:53:10	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	206	83¢	$171	0xf0a5d2…
11-03 14:42:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	144	73¢	$105	0xeee25f…
11-03 14:42:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x6435b4…
11-03 14:42:24	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x7ad5c8…
10-28 11:07:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	191	96¢	$185	0xe6bb4c…
10-28 08:30:13	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	191	95¢	$182	0xa2cb00…
10-28 03:03:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	198	95¢	$188	0xd1edad…
10-27 17:30:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf24951…
10-27 15:59:38	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x2e3818…
10-27 14:17:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x62f73d…
10-25 23:40:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	92	95¢	$88	0x145497…
10-24 18:06:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	108	91¢	$99	0x439adf…
10-24 17:24:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	92	84¢	$78	0x210746…
10-22 16:43:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	107	22¢	$24	0x6b2dd0…
10-20 21:57:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	107	21¢	$22	0x4c6c6d…
10-15 07:11:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	92	83¢	$77	0xec586f…
10-11 09:22:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xebc781…
10-09 05:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc82522…
10-05 18:25:43	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x855f82…
10-05 18:25:43	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x689992…
10-05 18:24:26	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5ab24e…
10-04 23:54:32	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x6f0275…
10-02 10:59:29	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x7de197…
09-30 23:13:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x371b70…
09-27 15:17:08	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x194aca…
09-22 12:29:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xebb407…
09-18 22:02:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10325e…
09-16 23:04:42	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb5a805…
09-15 23:35:28	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa88689…
09-15 05:05:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e5cfe…
09-14 17:51:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x63a823…
09-14 16:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6f2949…
09-11 23:24:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	158	98¢	$154	0x870973…
09-11 21:00:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	158	97¢	$152	0xfbc903…
09-10 18:49:25	LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0x308f24…
09-10 06:42:33	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49c2a1…
09-10 00:06:51	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	159	54¢	$86	0x8e39d1…
09-09 18:36:57	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	89	52¢	$46	0xfd8394…
09-09 18:16:37	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	70	52¢	$37	0x1bf70b…
09-05 15:28:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x16cc34…
08-31 19:43:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x09275b…
08-31 16:33:33	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in August?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x6ad2bf…
08-31 13:47:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xe47447…
08-31 13:43:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe1bbc3…
08-27 18:55:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xbbd8e2…
08-27 07:21:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x2b8698…
08-27 00:20:39	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xfcdbb2…
08-25 09:33:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x054451…
08-25 01:01:01	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xaedc4d…
08-23 06:31:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbc1e8d…
08-20 23:31:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xd23734…
08-20 18:24:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3ff215…
08-20 05:18:51	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3c9bb0…
08-19 23:30:31	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x703cd3…
08-19 08:12:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd23041…
08-18 11:21:39	will xauusd dip to 3400 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3155c0…
08-16 20:15:04	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xac1c4b…
08-14 14:51:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x0d87b5…
08-12 05:20:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	146	96¢	$141	0x5f5766…
08-10 11:26:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xe5b473…
08-10 09:22:34	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb2dd43…
08-06 19:23:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ad107…
08-06 13:19:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xe541d5…
08-05 09:32:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc6470e…
08-05 07:47:48	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f906a…
08-04 18:48:56	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x89729c…
08-04 18:34:15	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xfdd21d…
07-30 11:19:59	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x4e6c44…
07-30 11:02:14	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x9af4fe…
07-29 01:21:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a07d5…
07-28 22:45:07	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xcabedb…
07-27 19:45:15	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x24dc67…
07-26 13:59:30	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aec05…
07-26 08:53:18	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45704b…
07-25 14:43:03	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba25a1…
07-25 13:40:51	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6e832…
07-25 06:18:06	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0x6b7c75…
07-24 07:43:52	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x97306c…
07-23 15:39:36	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x185525…
07-21 14:11:12	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3d640d…
07-21 12:12:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b5d31…
07-21 11:01:43	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5d9a1b…
07-21 03:48:58	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb9185a…
07-19 16:37:24	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b0955…
07-17 05:44:12	will ethereum dip to 1000 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34781b…
07-07 02:37:56	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd3d7ca…
07-06 15:18:35	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9476c…
06-30 08:50:43	will nvda reach 264 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36dd0b…
06-29 15:06:29	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70829d…
06-29 12:40:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc367b8…
06-29 04:22:02	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe38915…
06-28 21:55:50	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c0068…
06-28 18:18:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdee361…
06-28 13:27:43	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xedcb3d…
06-28 02:47:38	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa59e49…
06-27 13:16:05	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5b3f7d…
06-26 18:15:13	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6adc68…
06-26 06:19:16	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc1f2f4…
06-25 23:58:19	Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xec94e5…
06-06 01:05:52	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x5ccb46…