Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

25.1%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-16 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 50% $-5

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No		-6	$-5	94¢	$-6	$-1	06-16 21:43
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-6	$-5	94¢	$-5	$-0	06-16 21:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$1.5K	8,500	1,930	+6,570	open	—	04-14 16:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	11	$1.2K	12,731	7,443	+5,288	open	—	04-14 16:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$1.1K	2,200	2,131	+69	open	—	04-09 15:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$390	2,000	1,926	+74	open	—	04-09 15:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$198	250	0	+250	open	—	04-09 15:43
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	4	$91	57	57	+0	open	—	04-08 15:07
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 15:07
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	04-08 15:09
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	2	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	04-08 15:08
will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 15:10
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	3	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	04-03 17:12
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	1	$22	116	0	+116	open	—	06-16 21:56
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-03 16:05
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	3	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	04-07 01:59
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	04-03 16:05
will russia capture pokrovka by march 31	2	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	03-10 21:34
will three people dissent the march fed decision	3	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	03-11 00:06
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-08 15:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 15:10
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-10 21:33
2026 us senate election republican odds under 50 by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-10 13:33
Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 07:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 15:59
Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 16:08
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 16:54
Will Scott Schlagel be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-05 14:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-05 11:30
Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 23:35
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-03 16:07
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	1	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	$-6	04-04 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 21:56:07	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Norway	BUY	116	19¢	$22	0xfdb7eb…
06-16 21:43:11	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x5748a3…
06-16 21:43:05	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x7964ec…
04-14 16:32:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,972	5¢	$236	0x03c14f…
04-14 16:31:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x805321…
04-14 16:31:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x9e5d4d…
04-14 16:29:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,000	10¢	$300	0x129ab7…
04-10 16:17:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,500	16¢	$560	0xf36e64…
04-09 15:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	250	79¢	$198	0x9ebe67…
04-09 15:26:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,926	13¢	$250	0xf8bc2c…
04-09 15:26:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,930	21¢	$401	0x64fb56…
04-09 15:26:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	7,443	8¢	$558	0x4416b6…
04-09 15:25:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,131	28¢	$586	0xba1a7d…
04-08 15:15:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,100	5¢	$104	0xb3d1a6…
04-08 15:12:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	179	5¢	$8	0x9b6ee4…
04-08 15:12:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,608	5¢	$74	0x7c18d4…
04-08 15:10:59	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x3d42e6…
04-08 15:10:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc49498…
04-08 15:09:59	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x78f31e…
04-08 15:09:09	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x671998…
04-08 15:08:53	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x46841e…
04-08 15:07:53	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x0e25d4…
04-08 15:07:41	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	SELL	57	87¢	$49	0x3ae109…
04-08 13:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$112	0x8f33ba…
04-08 13:34:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x3840f0…
04-08 13:33:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,071	4¢	$47	0x1179be…
04-08 13:33:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0x9b8e81…
04-08 13:31:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xd282f3…
04-08 13:30:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0x70294f…
04-08 13:30:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,200	22¢	$484	0xfab99e…
04-07 01:59:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x6c29eb…
04-06 01:34:59	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x70b7c6…
04-05 14:00:21	Will Scott Schlagel be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xfdd1fe…
04-05 11:30:49	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2ccb2d…
04-05 07:27:41	Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x63d384…
04-04 10:27:59	Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x3d4524…
04-03 23:35:59	Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbe0278…
04-03 19:46:51	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xddd000…
04-03 17:47:21	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1f72b8…
04-03 17:22:57	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2c9cd2…
04-03 17:12:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x718f6d…
04-03 16:56:13	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc74b23…
04-03 16:54:09	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x34fe71…
04-03 16:08:41	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9215d4…
04-03 16:08:39	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xea33c1…
04-03 16:08:25	Will Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe69554…
04-03 16:07:23	Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in April?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x840783…
04-03 16:05:17	will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xec2190…
04-03 16:05:17	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xb861fe…
04-03 16:05:15	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb6741b…
04-03 16:05:15	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x35c361…
04-03 16:05:15	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x14d7c6…
04-03 16:05:15	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0b2f17…
04-03 15:59:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x730690…
04-03 15:53:53	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7ea5b3…
04-03 15:53:51	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x860ce3…
04-03 15:53:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x56aaaf…
04-03 15:53:49	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc92f38…
04-03 15:53:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xca019a…
04-03 15:53:41	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb5488d…
04-03 15:53:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x98b701…
04-03 15:53:37	will gerb sds win between 60 64 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x941571…
04-03 15:53:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8efc9c…
04-03 15:53:33	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x39ee68…
04-03 15:53:23	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xde20f5…
04-03 15:53:19	Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5d3426…
04-03 15:53:09	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7b7f98…
04-03 15:53:03	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x43cec4…
04-03 15:52:59	Will Trump say "Trump Vodka" or "Trump Steak" in April?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8bc315…
04-03 15:52:59	will elisa win the legend trade series	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x48d604…
04-03 15:52:57	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x5ca236…
04-03 15:52:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xbf8907…
04-03 15:52:45	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2eec40…
04-03 15:52:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaddd1a…
04-03 15:52:39	will the first eaglet hatch on april 10 2026 369 995	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x4c9935…
04-03 15:52:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x81b862…
04-03 15:52:31	Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x57b901…
04-03 15:52:29	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1b2988…
04-03 15:52:29	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x001153…
04-03 15:52:27	Don Lemon charges dropped?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7d1d70…
04-03 15:52:21	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x54d1f0…
03-11 13:40:49	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 17	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x93686d…
03-11 13:39:43	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 17	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3db86d…
03-11 13:38:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 17	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7f244f…
03-11 13:36:31	ethereum above 2300 on march 17	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x34d382…
03-11 13:32:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 17	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5ab848…
03-11 13:31:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 17	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xff9245…
03-11 13:31:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 17	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc280de…
03-11 12:49:41	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x240e18…
03-11 12:33:23	i beat bush epstein email publicly unredacted by march 31	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xc77639…
03-11 12:00:37	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcc0257…
03-11 11:57:09	xrp above 1pt5 on march 17	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x60f645…
03-11 09:59:15	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3a4153…
03-11 09:58:11	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on march 17	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1a2866…
03-11 09:46:15	will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x70558e…
03-11 09:44:33	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb6d4a0…
03-11 09:43:25	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6bc400…
03-11 09:40:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 17	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5cbb8c…
03-11 05:54:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc80556…
03-11 05:42:29	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x465f2c…