Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
open
Total volume
$4,801
Trades
643
Unique wallets
126
Liquidity
$6,694
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-04-12
First seen
2026-03-24
last 04-22 20:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $286
vs crowd: 9% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 27 | $31 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $51 | $676 | $625 |
| 🐟 Fish | 30 | $50 | $96 | $46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $185 | $33 | +$152 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $3 | $283 | $279 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $42 | $360 | $318 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $14 | $331 | $317 |
| Median | 19 | $8 | $111 | $103 |
| Below median | 19 | $32 | $85 | $52 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $10 | $436 | $426 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $106 | $292 | $187 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 24 | $101 | $262 | $160 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | +7,000 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 04-22 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x3103…7a98 | Yes | +857 | $14 | $20 | 7 | 04-13 14:01 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +689 | $674 | $674 | 9 | 04-14 09:56 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +584 | $569 | $569 | 7 | 04-12 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a9f…3445 | Yes | +545 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-13 20:44 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | +490 | $2 | $2 | 17 | 04-22 07:39 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | +482 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-13 07:29 |
| Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | +349 | $-3 | $6 | 41 | 04-14 01:08 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +305 | $301 | $301 | 7 | 04-13 09:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +257 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 04-11 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eb7…08a3 | Yes | +249 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-14 01:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +236 | $11 | $11 | 20 | 04-13 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e14…4254 | Yes | +211 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-13 05:06 |
| Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86 | No | +206 | $197 | $197 | 6 | 04-13 09:48 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +202 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-09 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0061…8fd6 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 11 | 04-13 09:46 |
| Vast-Spreadsheet 0x65a5…f5b7 | Yes | +185 | $-1 | $16 | 12 | 04-13 01:02 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 21 | 04-15 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd26d…41d1 | Yes | +130 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-11 22:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +126 | $111 | $111 | 10 | 04-13 05:06 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +120 | $117 | $117 | 7 | 04-12 23:29 |
| Unconscious-Greed 0xf41f…19d2 | Yes | +114 | $-1 | $4 | 18 | 04-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-09 10:54 |
| Youthful-Shower 0x0603…8f62 | Yes | +87 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 04-13 04:49 |
| Steep-Hydrofoil 0x73b8…f6b5 | Yes | +82 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 03-24 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xddc2…f0da | Yes | +79 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-12 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bf1…a317 | Yes | +63 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-11 22:12 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 04-11 22:52 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 04-11 22:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 03-27 04:19 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-10 15:27 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 04-11 22:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 04-13 09:46 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | No | +38 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 04-13 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cc9…d07e | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-14 09:56 |
| Frosty-Dynamite 0x4c0a…91e1 | Yes | +33 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-12 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5562…3b41 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 03-24 16:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4688…f2da | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-12 03:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa208…2e1b | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 03-27 07:25 |
| Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 04-14 01:08 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +30 | $-1 | $4 | 15 | 04-13 14:01 |
| Grimy-Ocean 0xebc0…fa41 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 03-27 04:19 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 03-24 13:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5686…690a | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 03-27 07:25 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | +22 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 04-09 17:37 |
| Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 04-12 02:29 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 04-09 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4cf…78c4 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 03-27 04:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fe…1e42 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $6 | 10 | 03-27 04:19 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-13 07:06 |
| Miserable-Team 0xc60d…4054 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 04-11 22:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 03-27 04:29 |
| Bite-Sized-Clerk 0x39fd…849e | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 03-24 13:22 |
| Irresponsible-Erosion 0x1033…9db9 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 04-13 20:44 |
| Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 04-13 09:48 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 04-11 21:53 |
| Clueless-Tractor 0xf95e…078d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-10 18:42 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 03-24 16:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f57…79eb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 04-13 09:58 |
| Ill-Diving 0x5fdd…2132 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 03-26 22:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | (anonymous) 0x312f…b91c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | BUY | 4,482 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | YourAnimeGirl 0xad70…4ccf | Yes | SELL | 869 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99404d… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Angry-Deficit 0xa056…0f70 | Yes | SELL | 735 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd5481c… |
| 04-22 20:51:38 | Handy-Ruffle 0x3dca…3c13 | Yes | BUY | 2,518 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x99404d… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5298c… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5298c… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7a4a9… |
| 04-22 07:39:28 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7a4a9… |
| 04-21 10:53:56 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x885182… |
| 04-21 10:53:56 | (anonymous) 0x611e…b025 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x885182… |
| 04-21 10:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x8f70…a2d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc84ab1… |
| 04-21 10:41:16 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc84ab1… |
| 04-21 10:22:30 | (anonymous) 0xec4e…4e9e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9829b0… |
| 04-21 10:22:30 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9829b0… |
| 04-20 09:00:54 | (anonymous) 0x8f81…b938 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xff6714… |
| 04-20 09:00:54 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff6714… |
| 04-20 09:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x2e7e…1a20 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd732a6… |
| 04-20 09:00:44 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf46a0f… |
| 04-20 09:00:44 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd732a6… |
| 04-20 09:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xd9f4…4977 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf46a0f… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36eba6… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…0176 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf36ef1… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x2038…8307 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x83e298… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x1eef…9f3a | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x36eba6… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf36ef1… |
| 04-20 07:10:04 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83e298… |
| 04-16 21:20:06 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a64b2… |
| 04-16 21:20:06 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a64b2… |
| 04-16 21:20:00 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb28b5c… |
| 04-16 21:20:00 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb28b5c… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32d77f… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32d77f… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x972bfb… |
| 04-16 21:19:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x972bfb… |
| 04-16 15:18:00 | Jaunty-Oar 0x682d…31ab | No | SELL | 255 | 100¢ | $255 | 0x3d2096… |
| 04-16 15:18:00 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 59 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d2096… |
| 04-16 15:18:00 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 196 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d2096… |
| 04-15 23:00:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd37d9d… |
| 04-15 23:00:30 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd37d9d… |
| 04-15 22:40:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54e881… |
| 04-15 22:40:32 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54e881… |
| 04-15 22:40:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8286f… |
| 04-15 22:40:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8286f… |
| 04-15 22:40:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22b3a1… |
| 04-15 22:40:08 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22b3a1… |
| 04-15 22:40:00 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaf45e… |
| 04-15 22:40:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaf45e… |
| 04-15 22:35:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65ec98… |
| 04-15 22:35:50 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65ec98… |
| 04-15 13:25:14 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d0278… |
| 04-15 13:25:14 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d0278… |
| 04-15 13:22:52 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6dd5d0… |
| 04-15 13:22:52 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6dd5d0… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7b2fe… |
| 04-15 13:22:50 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7b2fe… |
| 04-15 13:22:24 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa06bd4… |
| 04-15 13:22:24 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa06bd4… |
| 04-15 08:04:04 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5dcbf… |
| 04-15 08:04:04 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb5dcbf… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd2942… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd2942… |
| 04-15 05:43:06 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd2942… |
| 04-15 04:43:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76b1c0… |
| 04-15 04:43:48 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76b1c0… |
| 04-14 09:56:01 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x50ae72… |
| 04-14 09:56:01 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x50ae72… |
| 04-14 09:56:01 | (anonymous) 0x8cc9…d07e | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x50ae72… |
| 04-14 08:16:21 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4da121… |
| 04-14 08:16:21 | (anonymous) 0xf916…4af1 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4da121… |
| 04-14 08:16:21 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 63 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4da121… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf9fd7… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfad272… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xf916…4af1 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfad272… |
| 04-14 08:10:03 | (anonymous) 0xf916…4af1 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf9fd7… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xf916…4af1 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4dbd6… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xf916…4af1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a2af6… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4dbd6… |
| 04-14 08:09:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a2af6… |
| 04-14 08:06:59 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbaa17a… |
| 04-14 08:06:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbaa17a… |
| 04-14 08:05:43 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63222… |
| 04-14 08:05:43 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd63222… |
| 04-14 08:04:05 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dc5f9… |
| 04-14 08:04:05 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dc5f9… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 94 | 99¢ | $93 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x1eb7…08a3 | Yes | BUY | 249 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-14 01:08:47 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7080a… |
| 04-13 21:12:57 | (anonymous) 0xe93f…6b7e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x406d79… |
| 04-13 21:12:57 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x406d79… |
| 04-13 20:44:05 | Warm-Pupa 0x2a66…a177 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x093bc3… |
| 04-13 20:44:05 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 433 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x093bc3… |
| 04-13 20:44:05 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x093bc3… |