Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$258
$25 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$63
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $89 | $6 | +$83 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $81 | $6 | +$75 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $10 | $6 | +$4 |
| Median | 6 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| Below median | 11 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $84 | $6 | +$78 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 1 | $18 | — | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | +90 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 05-14 23:30 |
| Talkative-Pottery 0x1d75…4742 | Yes | +41 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-15 12:47 |
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | No | +28 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Buzzing-Dessert 0x9c96…42ef | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-15 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +13 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 23:12 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:07 |
| Polished-Construction 0x57ae…3b7c | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 03:15 |
| Rewarding-Most 0x1293…04c8 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:02 |
| Descriptive-Reading 0xc69b…3b60 | Yes | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 22:50 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 21:49 |
| Huge-Teller 0x75a1…6afb | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:37 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:07 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:07 |
| Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x21dc86… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb5d78f… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xdab56f… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x5fa399… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xfc36a3… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x561c0d… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x9b7271… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x105f1f… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xaf6da8… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0e36c6… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0d32f5… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x843e8f… |
| 05-15 13:56:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc4ec6e… |
| 05-15 13:37:45 | Huge-Teller 0x75a1…6afb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x5be467… |
| 05-15 12:47:35 | Talkative-Pottery 0x1d75…4742 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 85¢ | $35 | 0xf6573f… |
| 05-15 11:59:31 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc0c2ab… |
| 05-15 11:46:57 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | No | BUY | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xaed99f… |
| 05-15 11:06:03 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x08e557… |
| 05-15 10:54:29 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7966ee… |
| 05-15 10:04:20 | Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1e6a35… |
| 05-15 08:37:04 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6d5539… |
| 05-15 07:39:54 | Buzzing-Dessert 0x9c96…42ef | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x783721… |
| 05-15 03:15:36 | Polished-Construction 0x57ae…3b7c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x7c3a8a… |
| 05-15 03:10:40 | Buzzing-Dessert 0x9c96…42ef | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9fc7dd… |
| 05-14 23:30:33 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 94¢ | $57 | 0x54a89a… |
| 05-14 23:30:19 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x2c662f… |
| 05-14 23:28:53 | (anonymous) 0x89d1…7576 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x53b619… |
| 05-14 23:27:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x1f788c… |
| 05-14 23:27:29 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xd1f949… |
| 05-14 23:12:07 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xfbc2b7… |
| 05-14 23:07:25 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x8f2333… |
| 05-14 23:07:20 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x4dd054… |
| 05-14 23:07:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xe8cf2e… |
| 05-14 22:50:39 | Descriptive-Reading 0xc69b…3b60 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $7 | 0xc8a798… |
| 05-14 21:37:02 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x3c526b… |
| 05-14 21:02:26 | Rewarding-Most 0x1293…04c8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x8dba83… |
| 05-14 03:16:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xf0a322… |
| 05-13 21:49:30 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xd77e12… |