Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$319
Trades
18
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,013
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 11:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $129 | $129 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | — | $170 | $170 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $96 | $96 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Median | 3 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $76 | $76 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $73 | $73 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multicolored-Ear 0xeaf6…0f8a | No | +75 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 05-15 19:14 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +65 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-14 23:26 |
| Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Flashy-Food-Spit 0xb968…4b8e | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-16 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 23:26 |
| Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 01:00 |
| Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 22:53 |
| Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 22:38 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:04 |
| Useful-Snowflake 0x4e19…9ecc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 01:52 |
| Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:11:23 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8715a1… |
| 05-16 09:51:38 | Flashy-Food-Spit 0xb968…4b8e | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x93c119… |
| 05-16 09:51:38 | Great-Nursery 0x8f4c…a2c1 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x97e8f3… |
| 05-16 09:51:38 | Incomplete-Sustenance 0x309b…40a1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9cc138… |
| 05-16 09:51:37 | Personal-Convection 0xb901…9fc4 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x21a41b… |
| 05-16 09:40:18 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf27449… |
| 05-16 09:40:14 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x17067d… |
| 05-16 09:18:08 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd103e2… |
| 05-16 08:09:56 | Ancient-Playwright 0xf961…259c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcf666c… |
| 05-16 01:52:47 | Useful-Snowflake 0x4e19…9ecc | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x36921c… |
| 05-16 01:00:48 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x669b6f… |
| 05-15 22:53:51 | Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xc4fd44… |
| 05-15 22:38:46 | Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x404dd4… |
| 05-15 19:14:50 | Multicolored-Ear 0xeaf6…0f8a | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $69 | 0xa30f20… |
| 05-15 10:40:36 | Multicolored-Ear 0xeaf6…0f8a | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x16f2b6… |
| 05-14 23:26:45 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x908c50… |
| 05-14 23:26:42 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0xe5c4b7… |
| 05-14 22:04:51 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd688d0… |