Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$291
$1,657 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$786
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $106 | $106 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $23 | $119 | $96 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $3 | $136 | $133 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| Median | 8 | $2 | $47 | $45 |
| Below median | 6 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | $6 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +90 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 05-08 10:34 |
| Huge-Insurance 0x100d…1baa | Yes | +38 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-10 07:22 |
| All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | +32 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 12:05 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-08 04:52 |
| Somber-Planula 0xe013…6c26 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:55 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:53 |
| Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 04:59 |
| Magnificent-Gesture 0x41d7…abf8 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 01:56 |
| Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 07:09 |
| Uncommon-Bulldozer 0x0514…4fef | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 19:13 |
| Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:00 |
| Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 16:17 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9731…a6dc | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:52 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 17:10 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 13:08 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Big-Hearted-Level 0xe8e2…6e3f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 21:10 |
| Shimmering-Fishery-Survey 0xff9b…6a02 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:13 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 01:40 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:01 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Frivolous-Ink 0x3bfd…430d | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:22:09 | (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x63689d… |
| 05-10 05:13:09 | Shimmering-Fishery-Survey 0xff9b…6a02 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x871a27… |
| 05-10 03:01:59 | Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd0c556… |
| 05-10 02:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2ba7f6… |
| 05-10 01:56:20 | Magnificent-Gesture 0x41d7…abf8 | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x2452bf… |
| 05-10 01:40:57 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xc80c10… |
| 05-10 01:40:57 | (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa5faef… |
| 05-10 01:40:56 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x54f7fa… |
| 05-10 00:54:37 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x4b2a94… |
| 05-10 00:53:56 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xc13b02… |
| 05-10 00:21:27 | Frivolous-Ink 0x3bfd…430d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x02eec1… |
| 05-09 20:28:23 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xd84b24… |
| 05-09 19:58:18 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x157fa4… |
| 05-09 19:47:47 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xd90763… |
| 05-09 19:47:38 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xef5d1f… |
| 05-09 19:47:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xaafdeb… |
| 05-09 19:47:22 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x86cfbf… |
| 05-09 19:13:27 | Uncommon-Bulldozer 0x0514…4fef | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x58de50… |
| 05-09 17:24:48 | Big-Hearted-Level 0xe8e2…6e3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa79ded… |
| 05-09 17:10:03 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x3736a7… |
| 05-09 17:08:58 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9d898f… |
| 05-09 17:08:51 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x62e03b… |
| 05-09 14:58:23 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xbac85e… |
| 05-09 13:08:13 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x46b23e… |
| 05-09 12:05:20 | All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xa9c7bc… |
| 05-09 07:09:44 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0b7fe4… |
| 05-09 04:59:43 | Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x48d030… |
| 05-09 03:00:32 | Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xad001a… |
| 05-09 00:18:50 | Huge-Insurance 0x100d…1baa | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xabc587… |
| 05-08 21:10:51 | Cultivated-Bloom 0x25d6…8b30 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x74db74… |
| 05-08 16:17:26 | Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x39223f… |
| 05-08 13:14:49 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xb11d1b… |
| 05-08 10:34:20 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 90 | 96¢ | $86 | 0x71a3e9… |
| 05-08 08:55:59 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcfa5ba… |
| 05-08 05:07:40 | Somber-Planula 0xe013…6c26 | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xa0b83f… |
| 05-08 05:07:37 | Yellowish-Income 0xa18b…4fc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3c1e51… |
| 05-08 04:52:32 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x461991… |
| 05-08 04:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x9731…a6dc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x22bbc0… |