Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 14?
Yes won
Total volume
$281
Trades
39
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-15 00:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.7¢
(top1%: 86% YES on $99
vs crowd: 94% YES on $270)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $85 | $0 | +$85 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $134 | $14 | +$120 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $30 | $1 | +$29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $85 | $14 | +$71 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $164 | $0 | +$164 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | +141 | $14 | $14 | 13 | 10-14 20:35 |
| Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | +109 | $97 | $97 | 12 | 10-14 14:23 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | +85 | $85 | $85 | 3 | 10-15 00:47 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 16:15 |
| Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | +37 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-14 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 00:47 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fcf…f33b | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-14 14:37 |
| Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 22:55 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 00:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:47:43 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x017a2e… |
| 10-15 00:47:43 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x017a2e… |
| 10-15 00:47:40 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x3e1b67… |
| 10-15 00:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e1b67… |
| 10-14 22:55:37 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x802265… |
| 10-14 22:55:37 | Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x802265… |
| 10-14 22:55:27 | Sinful-Brood 0x957f…aee0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xba9221… |
| 10-14 22:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba9221… |
| 10-14 20:35:04 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0xea4f0f… |
| 10-14 20:35:04 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xea4f0f… |
| 10-14 20:34:45 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbb8a1… |
| 10-14 20:34:45 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0xfbb8a1… |
| 10-14 16:15:52 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x6f2a4c… |
| 10-14 16:15:52 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2a4c… |
| 10-14 16:15:52 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f2a4c… |
| 10-14 14:37:52 | Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x5aba4b… |
| 10-14 14:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…f33b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x5aba4b… |
| 10-14 14:23:06 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x225624… |
| 10-14 14:23:06 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x225624… |
| 10-14 14:23:05 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9bdcff… |
| 10-14 14:23:05 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x9bdcff… |
| 10-14 14:22:21 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 90¢ | $13 | 0x1dd0f8… |
| 10-14 14:22:21 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1dd0f8… |
| 10-14 14:14:03 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9dc8c9… |
| 10-14 14:14:03 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9dc8c9… |
| 10-14 14:13:56 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6a803b… |
| 10-14 14:13:56 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x6a803b… |
| 10-14 14:13:44 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9b0122… |
| 10-14 14:13:44 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x9b0122… |
| 10-14 14:13:33 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x268764… |
| 10-14 14:13:33 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x268764… |
| 10-14 14:13:11 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x770824… |
| 10-14 14:13:11 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x770824… |
| 10-14 14:10:29 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x16f556… |
| 10-14 14:10:29 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x16f556… |
| 10-14 14:10:14 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x35a647… |
| 10-14 14:10:14 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x35a647… |
| 10-14 14:09:59 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x12b99e… |
| 10-14 14:09:59 | Nutty-Advice 0x3904…539b | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x12b99e… |