Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$692
$1,723 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,502
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 06:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $110 | $110 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | — | $460 | $460 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $143 | $143 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $305 | $305 |
| Median | 7 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another-Lox 0xdcb9…1879 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 04:43 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 00:04 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Messy-Goodness 0xd243…0c11 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Shy-Vertigo 0xd353…9ac2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:52:47 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfeccc3… |
| 05-10 06:52:24 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc48868… |
| 05-10 06:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc7b2ec… |
| 05-10 06:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x645c9c… |
| 05-10 06:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x0cc732… |
| 05-10 06:51:40 | Another-Lox 0xdcb9…1879 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xf9c006… |
| 05-10 06:51:40 | Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0x643a5c… |
| 05-10 06:51:40 | Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xeab811… |
| 05-10 06:33:51 | Shy-Vertigo 0xd353…9ac2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x12dc29… |
| 05-10 04:43:52 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5f9fb2… |
| 05-10 04:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | SELL | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x49aa80… |
| 05-10 01:05:42 | Messy-Goodness 0xd243…0c11 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2d314c… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x8e6602… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xccbba1… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c401a… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x270771… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc66fee… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e8481… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x521fef… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3728ba… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bfac5… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65fda8… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa629f8… |
| 05-10 00:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd0b6d3… |
| 05-09 15:52:38 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa51fa3… |
| 05-09 00:35:28 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x75a1c5… |