XRP Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$600
Trades
114
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
62¢
Latest NO mid
38¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-15 00:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.5¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $352
vs crowd: 74% YES on $517)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $280 | $86 | +$194 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $82 | $23 | +$59 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $16 | $16 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $6 | $8 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $267 | $85 | +$182 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $10 | $16 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| Below median | 6 | $7 | $5 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $13 | $7 | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $25 | $9 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +84 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | +79 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | +61 | $33 | $33 | 7 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | +60 | $2 | $2 | 5 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | +41 | $25 | $25 | 4 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +31 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Quick-Witted-Recognition 0x1b58…6f11 | Up | +26 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xebe6…b969 | Down | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Grand-Contrary 0x9899…387b | Up | +22 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-15 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +22 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Bulky-Stepsister 0x71eb…b6f1 | Up | +21 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xcddf…c887 | Down | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x13e0…5204 | Up | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Down | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +18 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | +16 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Calculating-Dining 0xbdac…5f12 | Down | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfec4…e58c | Down | +16 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-15 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | +14 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-15 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | +12 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x31d2…94bc | Down | +11 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | +11 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | +10 | $2 | $18 | 8 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Delightful-Liability 0xaf73…51ee | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| Intentional-Sepal 0x09b7…d0e2 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-14 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe956…d21c | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Solid-Chalet 0xe9f5…cb06 | Down | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xee29…daa3 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 00:01 |
| Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| Warm-Tabletop 0x12e5…e3cd | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | +4 | $5 | $15 | 4 | 10-15 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe095…9067 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 00:01 |
| Any-Hemisphere 0xd267…8f19 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x13e0…5204 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa051…8849 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Known-Silkworm 0x6209…e82f | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 00:03 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xcddf…c887 | Down | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b8cae… |
| 10-15 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | BUY | 84 | 99¢ | $83 | 0x4b8cae… |
| 10-15 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0xd77d…cfb8 | Up | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x4b8cae… |
| 10-15 00:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b8cae… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xebe6…b969 | Down | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x145c55… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5266de… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x303185… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xa051…8849 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x604125… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | Known-Silkworm 0x6209…e82f | Up | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x5266de… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x145c55… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x145c55… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xd77d…cfb8 | Up | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $59 | 0x145c55… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x303185… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | (anonymous) 0xcddf…c887 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x604125… |
| 10-15 00:03:22 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x145c55… |
| 10-15 00:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x5036b0… |
| 10-15 00:03:21 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x380858… |
| 10-15 00:03:21 | Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x380858… |
| 10-15 00:03:21 | Plump-Speakerphone 0x24b5…ee78 | Down | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5036b0… |
| 10-15 00:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x546481… |
| 10-15 00:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x546481… |
| 10-15 00:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd71b45… |
| 10-15 00:03:15 | Intentional-Sepal 0x09b7…d0e2 | Up | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xd71b45… |
| 10-15 00:03:06 | Warm-Tabletop 0x12e5…e3cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xab1309… |
| 10-15 00:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xab1309… |
| 10-15 00:03:03 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x41d58a… |
| 10-15 00:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x41d58a… |
| 10-15 00:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x41d58a… |
| 10-15 00:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x41d58a… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb4d661… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xf53050… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x31d2…94bc | Down | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x58f614… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x58f614… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x31d2…94bc | Down | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb4d661… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xb4d661… |
| 10-15 00:03:01 | (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf53050… |
| 10-15 00:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x3de57d… |
| 10-15 00:02:58 | Solid-Chalet 0xe9f5…cb06 | Down | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x3de57d… |
| 10-15 00:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x9aaa8d… |
| 10-15 00:02:55 | (anonymous) 0x31d2…94bc | Down | BUY | 2 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x9aaa8d… |
| 10-15 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x592039… |
| 10-15 00:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x8083…284c | Down | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x592039… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 17 | 44¢ | $8 | 0x8875fc… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x2ffbe8… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x2ffbe8… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x641712… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 17 | 56¢ | $10 | 0x8875fc… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x930f1e… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0x930f1e… |
| 10-15 00:02:49 | Calculating-Dining 0xbdac…5f12 | Down | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x641712… |
| 10-15 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x13e0…5204 | Down | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x58d7e3… |
| 10-15 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x58d7e3… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xa11d3f… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x474ba0… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 1 | 60¢ | $0 | 0xcb75fd… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xeb5a85… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xa11d3f… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Down | BUY | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xeb5a85… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xcb75fd… |
| 10-15 00:02:46 | Scratchy-Grass 0xc014…72e2 | Down | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x474ba0… |
| 10-15 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0x1c2009… |
| 10-15 00:02:31 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x124f99… |
| 10-15 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x1c2009… |
| 10-15 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x124f99… |
| 10-15 00:02:25 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x46ceec… |
| 10-15 00:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x3709fc… |
| 10-15 00:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x46ceec… |
| 10-15 00:02:25 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x3709fc… |
| 10-15 00:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xb186c2… |
| 10-15 00:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x4b3c…21eb | Up | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x997f96… |
| 10-15 00:02:07 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x997f96… |
| 10-15 00:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xb186c2… |
| 10-15 00:02:07 | Bulky-Stepsister 0x71eb…b6f1 | Up | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xb186c2… |
| 10-15 00:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x0af0c5… |
| 10-15 00:02:06 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Down | BUY | 16 | 53¢ | $9 | 0x0af0c5… |
| 10-15 00:02:06 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 21 | 47¢ | $10 | 0x0af0c5… |
| 10-15 00:01:55 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xdb92f2… |
| 10-15 00:01:55 | (anonymous) 0xfec4…e58c | Down | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdb92f2… |
| 10-15 00:01:45 | (anonymous) 0xe095…9067 | Down | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xd1a8bd… |
| 10-15 00:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xb90a68… |
| 10-15 00:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x8083…284c | Down | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xb90a68… |
| 10-15 00:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xd1a8bd… |
| 10-15 00:01:43 | (anonymous) 0xfec4…e58c | Down | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x5c0f0b… |
| 10-15 00:01:43 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x5c0f0b… |
| 10-15 00:01:42 | (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xcf61a6… |
| 10-15 00:01:42 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Down | BUY | 12 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x3c82cc… |
| 10-15 00:01:42 | Grand-Contrary 0x9899…387b | Up | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xcf61a6… |
| 10-15 00:01:42 | Grand-Contrary 0x9899…387b | Up | BUY | 12 | 46¢ | $6 | 0x3c82cc… |
| 10-15 00:01:27 | (anonymous) 0xfec4…e58c | Down | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x1da06a… |
| 10-15 00:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x1da06a… |
| 10-15 00:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Down | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa9724b… |
| 10-15 00:00:55 | Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | Up | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa9724b… |
| 10-15 00:00:45 | (anonymous) 0xee29…daa3 | Down | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xb82a33… |
| 10-15 00:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xb82a33… |
| 10-15 00:00:24 | Black-Park 0x337b…7e26 | Up | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x1384d0… |
| 10-15 00:00:24 | Solid-Chalet 0xe9f5…cb06 | Down | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x1384d0… |
| 10-15 00:00:10 | Delightful-Liability 0xaf73…51ee | Up | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x72a0fa… |
| 10-15 00:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x72a0fa… |
| 10-15 00:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x72a0fa… |
| 10-15 00:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x2f2fb5… |