Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$374
$2,950 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,500
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $174 | $174 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $18 | $123 | $104 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $39 | $39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $42 | $42 |
| Median | 8 | $2 | $216 | $213 |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +180 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +143 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-08 09:25 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +56 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Worthwhile-Equinox 0x2936…6c5f | Yes | +48 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 08:05 |
| Narrow-Pocketbook 0x5ccb…1b18 | Yes | +44 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x73b6…b19d | Yes | +38 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Frightening-Cut 0xb675…9f60 | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:31 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-07 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 09:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-08 05:04 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:49 |
| Ugly-Elevator 0x3bba…a2ea | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:30 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 00:34 |
| Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 07:19 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 02:37 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:25:49 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc5fcc1… |
| 05-08 09:25:48 | Curvy-Composition 0xfa13…c204 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9f61f1… |
| 05-08 09:20:50 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x162861… |
| 05-08 09:20:50 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x71f0fc… |
| 05-08 09:20:50 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb8898a… |
| 05-08 09:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x73b6…b19d | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6834fa… |
| 05-08 09:20:12 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6f47e3… |
| 05-08 09:10:11 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xbe6a29… |
| 05-08 09:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x73b6…b19d | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe743e5… |
| 05-08 08:59:52 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc0a389… |
| 05-08 08:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x73b6…b19d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7970b6… |
| 05-08 08:54:44 | Vast-Owl 0xdc8b…0d95 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x894c85… |
| 05-08 08:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x67ae61… |
| 05-08 08:49:29 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xdd8418… |
| 05-08 08:49:25 | Vast-Owl 0xdc8b…0d95 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfdad7a… |
| 05-08 08:45:54 | Ugly-Elevator 0x3bba…a2ea | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3548d4… |
| 05-08 08:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbbb9cb… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xe7e511… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xccfba6… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xab31b6… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x796df8… |
| 05-08 08:05:39 | Worthwhile-Equinox 0x2936…6c5f | Yes | BUY | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xb8e4ee… |
| 05-08 07:19:18 | Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xb027da… |
| 05-08 07:09:25 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5fa92d… |
| 05-08 06:03:51 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1f398f… |
| 05-08 05:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x5581…8495 | No | SELL | 47 | 98¢ | $46 | 0x7c9439… |
| 05-08 05:38:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef6781… |
| 05-08 05:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfcdf91… |
| 05-08 03:46:30 | Narrow-Pocketbook 0x5ccb…1b18 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1f1b54… |
| 05-08 03:31:02 | Frightening-Cut 0xb675…9f60 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7affc9… |
| 05-08 02:37:36 | Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdeb3eb… |
| 05-08 00:34:12 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4f4c7d… |
| 05-07 23:01:20 | (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x62513a… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x19d599… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8f0cf0… |
| 05-07 23:01:11 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4764ac… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6ed726… |
| 05-07 14:36:22 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xe29371… |
| 05-07 14:36:12 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x0d79be… |
| 05-07 03:08:13 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2a7a9f… |
| 05-06 13:52:38 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8c03b5… |