Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$412
$54 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$6,339
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-17 01:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $108 | $129 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $6 | $33 | $28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $38 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $108 | $120 | $12 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +235 | $120 | $120 | 4 | 05-16 11:36 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +178 | $108 | $108 | 7 | 05-16 07:16 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-16 16:24 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 06:21 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-17 01:43 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-16 11:35 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 06:49 |
| Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 06:49 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 10:21 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 21:13 |
| Extra-Small-Butcher 0xfd51…795b | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d73…94ce | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 04:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 01:43:16 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x6d30f4… |
| 05-17 01:32:39 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x9d02ce… |
| 05-16 19:57:15 | Extra-Small-Butcher 0xfd51…795b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x9a5c27… |
| 05-16 16:24:15 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x0603b8… |
| 05-16 16:21:41 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xd52b79… |
| 05-16 13:33:48 | Webbed-Orientation 0xd292…07f8 | No | SELL | 124 | 66¢ | $82 | 0x830057… |
| 05-16 11:41:03 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x3e815c… |
| 05-16 11:36:40 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x365ecc… |
| 05-16 11:36:02 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x763117… |
| 05-16 11:35:58 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x9e8f81… |
| 05-16 10:21:23 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x6b003e… |
| 05-16 09:18:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0xa93e07… |
| 05-16 09:18:18 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x525064… |
| 05-16 09:18:18 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | No | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x1ce1ed… |
| 05-16 07:16:23 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xdfe782… |
| 05-16 07:15:06 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x1d05c8… |
| 05-16 06:49:59 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x0debc5… |
| 05-16 06:49:56 | Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x5aeac0… |
| 05-16 06:21:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 95 | 23¢ | $22 | 0xd17408… |
| 05-16 06:21:17 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 30¢ | $9 | 0x4e8c24… |
| 05-16 04:54:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xeca2b9… |
| 05-16 04:54:28 | (anonymous) 0x3d73…94ce | Yes | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x57e643… |
| 05-16 04:33:03 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x958ab2… |
| 05-16 01:50:55 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x645c30… |
| 05-16 01:24:12 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | No | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x4366a4… |
| 05-16 00:15:46 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x50423f… |
| 05-15 20:35:29 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xb48fa3… |
| 05-13 20:13:10 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x284f86… |
| 05-13 12:38:13 | Super-Something 0x4709…f6c2 | No | SELL | 18 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x7e50d1… |
| 05-12 21:13:07 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x723bd5… |
| 05-12 13:12:56 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x2d8646… |