Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09?
open
Total volume
$518
$238 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$270,670
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 12:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-21.4¢
(top1%: 51% YES on $202
vs crowd: 72% YES on $427)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $84 | $97 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $19 | $3 | +$16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $205 | $17 | +$188 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $102 | $100 | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $80 | $0 | +$80 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $15 | $2 | +$13 |
| Median | 3 | $88 | — | +$88 |
| Below median | 7 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | $6 | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +372 | $97 | $97 | 3 | 05-09 12:20 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +95 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Second-Hand-Ukulele 0xff45…69ba | Yes | +92 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-09 11:55 |
| French-Tuba 0x2199…b783 | Yes | +83 | $82 | $82 | 4 | 05-09 12:21 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +25 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 05-09 12:05 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 12:20 |
| Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 12:41 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 11:14 |
| Excellent-Spectacle 0x698c…ddc8 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xabe0…0035 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:13 |
| Weepy-Beef 0x418e…3740 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:40 |
| Moral-Poem 0xf37c…cf70 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 12:05 |
| Official-Charter 0x4abb…d858 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe68b…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Double-Exaggeration 0x8328…feb3 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:20 |
| Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:30 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:15 |
| Stylish-Wasabi 0x8b0b…12ff | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 11:55 |
| Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4337…ad4d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:58:10 | Uneven-Complement 0x64fa…1661 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xd7454f… |
| 05-09 12:47:13 | (anonymous) 0x7c19…55e8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x1b5ced… |
| 05-09 12:47:12 | Enormous-Addition 0xc036…30d4 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x78ccbb… |
| 05-09 12:41:01 | Sturdy-Accessory 0x5904…940f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x04aff1… |
| 05-09 12:34:36 | Fuzzy-Slate 0xfa5f…ad85 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd8b0bb… |
| 05-09 12:21:56 | French-Tuba 0x2199…b783 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x4427db… |
| 05-09 12:21:47 | French-Tuba 0x2199…b783 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $37 | 0x890245… |
| 05-09 12:21:46 | Unaware-Headquarters 0xee11…19a9 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xc8f942… |
| 05-09 12:21:23 | French-Tuba 0x2199…b783 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0xec5b6a… |
| 05-09 12:20:58 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbce0b9… |
| 05-09 12:20:57 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x69c4c8… |
| 05-09 12:20:53 | French-Tuba 0x2199…b783 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x571622… |
| 05-09 12:20:43 | Double-Exaggeration 0x8328…feb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4133c7… |
| 05-09 12:13:36 | Official-Charter 0x4abb…d858 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc345e9… |
| 05-09 12:13:32 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf3ea87… |
| 05-09 12:13:01 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 88¢ | $84 | 0x7ae86e… |
| 05-09 12:05:17 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9f2265… |
| 05-09 12:05:13 | Moral-Poem 0xf37c…cf70 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x1f62c6… |
| 05-09 12:00:49 | (anonymous) 0xe68b…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xa26fb9… |
| 05-09 12:00:39 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x3763b6… |
| 05-09 11:55:39 | Second-Hand-Ukulele 0xff45…69ba | Yes | BUY | 92 | 87¢ | $80 | 0xb70ba4… |
| 05-09 11:55:32 | Stylish-Wasabi 0x8b0b…12ff | Yes | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x9bbbc0… |
| 05-09 11:50:26 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xca82f0… |
| 05-09 11:45:43 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa06376… |
| 05-09 11:40:21 | Weepy-Beef 0x418e…3740 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x300f23… |
| 05-09 11:40:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xd379f9… |
| 05-09 11:30:15 | (anonymous) 0x5ff7…b686 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x2abb7f… |
| 05-09 11:30:10 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe54494… |
| 05-09 11:20:10 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x0bca01… |
| 05-09 11:15:07 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 57 | 55¢ | $31 | 0x9c58bd… |
| 05-09 11:15:05 | Front-Examination 0x8da3…7c12 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 45¢ | $15 | 0x467aef… |
| 05-09 11:15:05 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xed2015… |
| 05-09 11:14:56 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x57f101… |
| 05-09 11:14:51 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 115 | 55¢ | $63 | 0x239aa8… |
| 05-09 11:00:18 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 43¢ | $8 | 0x25e73b… |
| 05-09 10:15:23 | Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x4c6ab8… |
| 05-09 07:59:54 | (anonymous) 0x4337…ad4d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x7dee2d… |
| 05-09 04:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x2c159e… |
| 05-08 06:13:37 | (anonymous) 0xabe0…0035 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x54b56f… |
| 05-08 03:51:47 | Excellent-Spectacle 0x698c…ddc8 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xa94983… |