Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 17?
Yes won
Total volume
$783
Trades
23
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-17
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-18 08:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 98% YES on $103
vs crowd: 99% YES on $559)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $209 | $0 | +$209 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $132 | — | +$132 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $184 | $3 | +$181 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $30 | — | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $101 | $2 | +$99 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $301 | — | +$301 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $69 | — | +$69 |
| Below median | 1 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $54 | $0 | +$54 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-18 06:58 |
| Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | Yes | +109 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 10-18 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe138…66c9 | No | +104 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-18 07:10 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 10-18 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | Yes | +64 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 10-18 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x686e…12d4 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-18 08:05 |
| Meager-Anklet 0x97c9…80d5 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-18 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-18 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-18 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfc8…62ff | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-18 08:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 08:38:09 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x963a33… |
| 10-18 08:38:09 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x963a33… |
| 10-18 08:05:15 | Shy-Icicle 0x4512…1857 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x384867… |
| 10-18 08:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x384867… |
| 10-18 08:05:03 | Shy-Icicle 0x4512…1857 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcdea7b… |
| 10-18 08:05:03 | (anonymous) 0x686e…12d4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcdea7b… |
| 10-18 08:03:32 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x4e97fd… |
| 10-18 08:03:32 | (anonymous) 0xbcbf…75a9 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x4e97fd… |
| 10-18 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5d68b9… |
| 10-18 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x36ae5c… |
| 10-18 08:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xdfc8…62ff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5d68b9… |
| 10-18 08:02:38 | Meager-Anklet 0x97c9…80d5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x36ae5c… |
| 10-18 07:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10a748… |
| 10-18 07:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xe138…66c9 | No | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x10a748… |
| 10-18 07:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x10a748… |
| 10-18 07:01:30 | (anonymous) 0xe138…66c9 | No | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8c9031… |
| 10-18 07:01:30 | Shy-Icicle 0x4512…1857 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x8c9031… |
| 10-18 06:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a71e2… |
| 10-18 06:58:47 | Grizzled-Beam 0xf84d…5e65 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0x4a71e2… |
| 10-18 06:58:47 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4a71e2… |
| 10-18 06:58:44 | Roasted-Trapezium 0x1a11…e55d | Yes | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x276951… |
| 10-18 06:58:44 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x276951… |
| 10-18 06:58:44 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x276951… |