Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$115,219

Trades

13,908

Unique wallets

1,842

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-16

First seen

2026-02-15

last 02-16 14:51

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Sneaky-Flan +13,169 (anon) +3,988 (anon) +3,955 (anon) +3,117 (anon) +2,854 (anon) +2,469 Truthful-Paddock +1,729 (anon) +1,725

NO holders

(anon) +6,702 (anon) +5,063 (anon) +4,098 (anon) +2,648 Rundown-Brilliant +2,475 (anon) +2,131 (anon) +1,684 (anon) +1,670

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -13.1¢ (top1%: 54% YES on $37.0K vs crowd: 67% YES on $98.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	87	$34.6K	$17.4K	+$17.2K
🐬 Dolphin	294	$18.1K	$8.9K	+$9.2K
🐟 Fish	677	$9.3K	$4.4K	+$5.0K
🦐 Shrimp	784	$3.6K	$2.2K	+$1.4K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	90	$19.8K	$17.2K	+$2.6K
🏆 Top 5%	143	$4.5K	$1.7K	+$2.7K
✅ Top 10%	125	$1.9K	$918	+$1.0K
Median	191	$1.7K	$358	+$1.4K
Below median	706	$3.8K	$2.3K	+$1.4K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	255	$8.2K	$3.9K	+$4.3K
🔻 Bottom 5%	246	$7.5K	$4.2K	+$3.3K
💀 Bottom 1%	86	$18.3K	$2.3K	+$16.0K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Sneaky-Flan 0xb7cb…e02f	Up	+13,169	$13,037	$13,037	111	02-16 14:51
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Down	+6,702	$2,663	$2,663	195	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+5,063	$2,674	$2,674	201	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+4,098	$1,810	$2,165	430	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+3,988	$2,189	$2,234	354	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+3,955	$1,754	$1,754	111	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Up	+3,117	$1,241	$1,241	83	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x6f98…4e49	Up	+2,854	$2,604	$2,604	1	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+2,648	$1,319	$1,319	151	02-16 14:49
Rundown-Brilliant 0xaf8b…15f1	Down	+2,475	$30	$30	37	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+2,469	$1,599	$1,599	99	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+2,131	$815	$815	57	02-16 14:48
Truthful-Paddock 0x70b9…cea8	Up	+1,729	$1,695	$1,695	1	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Up	+1,725	$1,139	$1,139	117	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Down	+1,684	$563	$563	116	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x9ced…95e8	Down	+1,670	$968	$968	117	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+1,643	$570	$570	147	02-16 14:48
Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348	Down	+1,540	$46	$46	54	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x9ced…95e8	Up	+1,510	$674	$674	121	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x6f98…4e49	Down	+1,478	$1,100	$1,100	1	02-16 14:46
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+1,476	$559	$795	136	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+1,447	$888	$888	109	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,239	$458	$458	55	02-16 14:47
(anonymous) 0x15d9…c764	Down	+1,156	$23	$23	1	02-16 14:49
Overcooked-Guarantee 0x40e6…d66e	Up	+1,012	$1,000	$1,000	1	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x420b…3e0a	Up	+1,000	$980	$980	1	02-16 14:49
Last-Condominium 0xda44…2b09	Down	+1,000	$525	$525	32	02-16 14:47
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+987	$503	$503	95	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+952	$399	$526	86	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+942	$445	$445	95	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0xf178…9323	Up	+879	$584	$584	81	02-16 14:49
Sparse-Outset 0x67ac…edf1	Up	+780	$390	$390	17	02-16 14:46
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Up	+733	$726	$726	14	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x267c…e3fc	Down	+724	$431	$447	127	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x267c…e3fc	Up	+712	$277	$287	119	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+679	$486	$486	20	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Down	+646	$202	$202	27	02-16 14:49
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	Down	+600	$7	$7	4	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0xe76e…8b73	Up	+593	$565	$565	1	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Up	+588	$311	$311	156	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Down	+582	$12	$12	12	02-16 14:49
Circular-Causal 0xb61f…976a	Up	+558	$426	$426	1	02-16 14:48
Loose-Church 0x7720…f3bb	Down	+550	$282	$282	11	02-16 14:49
Loose-Church 0x7720…f3bb	Up	+550	$235	$235	11	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x297f…5103	Up	+532	$291	$291	151	02-16 14:49
Whirlwind-Fill 0x89e9…602f	Down	+520	$233	$233	13	02-16 14:49
Unaware-Refectory 0xc49e…0af7	Up	+500	$490	$490	1	02-16 14:49
Competent-Graduate 0x0c11…b0e6	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x4084…c129	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	02-16 14:49
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Down	+499	$10	$10	16	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x83dd…1a5c	Up	+498	$250	$250	1	02-16 14:45
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Down	+496	$213	$213	76	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x5f4d…6be0	Down	+492	$255	$255	41	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Up	+484	$355	$355	16	02-16 14:49
Whirlwind-Fill 0x89e9…602f	Up	+480	$228	$228	12	02-16 14:49
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Up	+475	$308	$308	78	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Down	+454	$135	$135	17	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	Down	+449	$220	$220	49	02-16 14:49
(anonymous) 0xcecd…1ac5	Down	+446	$141	$141	25	02-16 14:48
(anonymous) 0x1c0a…01d4	Down	+437	$152	$152	57	02-16 14:49