XRP Up or Down - October 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$299
Trades
59
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-03 04:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.6¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $143
vs crowd: 12% YES on $291)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $23 | $120 | $96 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $3 | $121 | $118 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $23 | $120 | $96 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $19 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $17 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $58 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +110 | $1 | $1 | 11 | 10-03 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +74 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 10-03 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | +47 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-03 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +26 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:29 |
| Agile-Ejector 0xf121…1f8c | Up | +26 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 10-03 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcac…0b99 | Up | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:29 |
| Poor-Method 0x93bd…d16e | Down | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-03 04:29 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-03 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ec6…4f34 | Down | +15 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-03 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0456…3235 | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5538…e703 | Up | +15 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-03 04:25 |
| Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Down | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-03 04:25 |
| Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Up | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Pesky-Marsh 0xa5e1…24ac | Down | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-03 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-03 04:27 |
| Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x17f2…4e60 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x868f…f327 | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-03 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc03a…f6a7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Every-Touch 0x0934…ef90 | Up | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 04:26 |
| Easy-Turnip 0xb897…c669 | Down | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3fde…dec8 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-03 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1137…d2d3 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 04:27 |
| Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 04:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0xbcac…0b99 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x868f…f327 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:03 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6814b0… |
| 10-03 04:29:00 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe57743… |
| 10-03 04:29:00 | Poor-Method 0x93bd…d16e | Down | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xe57743… |
| 10-03 04:28:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x3ff483… |
| 10-03 04:28:59 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ff483… |
| 10-03 04:28:57 | (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1cc052… |
| 10-03 04:28:57 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1cc052… |
| 10-03 04:28:53 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbea37d… |
| 10-03 04:28:53 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 47 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e3a55… |
| 10-03 04:28:53 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x5e3a55… |
| 10-03 04:28:53 | (anonymous) 0xc03a…f6a7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbea37d… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa20cb4… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | Pesky-Marsh 0xa5e1…24ac | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xa20cb4… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaf1ef9… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xaf1ef9… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0f09f… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xaf1ef9… |
| 10-03 04:28:48 | (anonymous) 0xa0ee…7dbd | Up | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0f09f… |
| 10-03 04:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43d9e2… |
| 10-03 04:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x17f2…4e60 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x43d9e2… |
| 10-03 04:28:14 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe66a87… |
| 10-03 04:28:14 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Down | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe66a87… |
| 10-03 04:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x0456…3235 | Down | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xb236b3… |
| 10-03 04:28:11 | Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc | Up | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb236b3… |
| 10-03 04:28:11 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb236b3… |
| 10-03 04:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb8b5eb… |
| 10-03 04:28:06 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xb8b5eb… |
| 10-03 04:28:06 | Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Up | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb8b5eb… |
| 10-03 04:27:36 | (anonymous) 0x6ec6…4f34 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x21d270… |
| 10-03 04:27:36 | Agile-Ejector 0xf121…1f8c | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x21d270… |
| 10-03 04:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x38a0…2cba | Down | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xc68b2e… |
| 10-03 04:27:33 | Agile-Ejector 0xf121…1f8c | Up | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc68b2e… |
| 10-03 04:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x6ec6…4f34 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x9874df… |
| 10-03 04:27:33 | Agile-Ejector 0xf121…1f8c | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9874df… |
| 10-03 04:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x6ec6…4f34 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2afd8f… |
| 10-03 04:27:32 | Agile-Ejector 0xf121…1f8c | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2afd8f… |
| 10-03 04:27:14 | Lumpy-Pagoda 0x3615…8fdf | Down | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xb9b645… |
| 10-03 04:27:14 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xb9b645… |
| 10-03 04:27:08 | Easy-Turnip 0xb897…c669 | Down | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x35841b… |
| 10-03 04:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x35841b… |
| 10-03 04:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x1137…d2d3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x870790… |
| 10-03 04:27:06 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x870790… |
| 10-03 04:26:54 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0x535b85… |
| 10-03 04:26:54 | Every-Touch 0x0934…ef90 | Up | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x535b85… |
| 10-03 04:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | SELL | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x36c4ee… |
| 10-03 04:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x3fde…dec8 | Down | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x36c4ee… |
| 10-03 04:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x5538…e703 | Up | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x4a6322… |
| 10-03 04:25:24 | Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Down | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0x4a6322… |
| 10-03 04:25:12 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | BUY | 18 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xdc5cc4… |
| 10-03 04:25:12 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xdc5cc4… |
| 10-03 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Down | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x2cd479… |
| 10-03 04:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x2cd479… |
| 10-03 04:25:03 | Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Up | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x2cd479… |