Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$221
$26 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,064
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 03:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $0 | $105 | $105 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $24 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | — | $26 | $26 |
| Median | 7 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $52 | $52 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +41 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 03:22 |
| Long-Term-Son 0x59c9…063d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-07 20:00 |
| Irresponsible-Founding 0x5be9…28c0 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 04:03 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +14 | $14 | $38 | 3 | 05-07 13:26 |
| Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 14:59 |
| Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 04:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 03:22:19 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e6a9d… |
| 05-08 01:27:36 | Long-Term-Son 0x59c9…063d | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xe1283c… |
| 05-07 23:21:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1bfa8… |
| 05-07 20:00:48 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb3e07e… |
| 05-07 20:00:48 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb7659a… |
| 05-07 20:00:46 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfb6590… |
| 05-07 14:59:37 | Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x1c71a5… |
| 05-07 13:26:08 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x6c283a… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb50756… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf59cd9… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc393f8… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x50c2a8… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffdf88… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb55f9e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x621daf… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb58e1… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe38314… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a0e78… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x98cf23… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x52f59e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20830c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc17c0c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x88e81b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f3a53… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac4515… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9fae50… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x8fa990… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c3a60… |
| 05-07 10:35:15 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 199 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3f1bb… |
| 05-07 04:03:55 | Irresponsible-Founding 0x5be9…28c0 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xa2a9dd… |
| 05-06 04:19:14 | Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe7d45c… |