Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 11?
No won
Total volume
$835
Trades
27
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 12:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $337 | $337 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | — | $498 | $498 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Median | 4 | — | $213 | $213 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $580 | $580 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +300 | $297 | $297 | 2 | 05-10 01:48 |
| Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 2 | 05-10 12:00 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +75 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-10 02:30 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 05-10 01:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 3 | 05-10 01:16 |
| Monthly-Raise 0x7e06…d153 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 10:40 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 12:02 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 07:14 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 06:47 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 11:26 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 05:58 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 12:02:21 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x84f3b1… |
| 05-10 12:00:43 | Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xeb6e63… |
| 05-10 12:00:26 | Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | No | BUY | 91 | 100¢ | $91 | 0x0f2bb8… |
| 05-10 11:26:32 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x934ded… |
| 05-10 10:40:03 | Monthly-Raise 0x7e06…d153 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xfaeb7c… |
| 05-10 07:14:06 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xae0a9d… |
| 05-10 06:47:23 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8dcfdd… |
| 05-10 06:22:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x24d881… |
| 05-10 05:58:21 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xa3866a… |
| 05-10 03:16:04 | Quarterly-Med 0xef02…4f7e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x665562… |
| 05-10 02:30:50 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x4fa909… |
| 05-10 02:00:37 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x2869b5… |
| 05-10 01:48:48 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 222 | 99¢ | $220 | 0x37feaa… |
| 05-10 01:36:47 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 78 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x1a9ed3… |
| 05-10 01:16:06 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x038db3… |
| 05-10 01:16:01 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x2ce99e… |
| 05-10 01:01:02 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x6b858c… |
| 05-10 01:01:00 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xdf852a… |
| 05-10 01:00:58 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xce6a40… |
| 05-10 01:00:58 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x76d65a… |
| 05-10 01:00:56 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x72a42d… |
| 05-10 01:00:56 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x78198e… |
| 05-10 01:00:56 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2df261… |
| 05-09 21:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc7ed7f… |
| 05-09 17:39:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c0c1f… |
| 05-09 17:39:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa6418b… |
| 05-09 15:14:52 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf329cc… |