BNB Up or Down - October 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$115
Trades
30
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
77¢
Latest NO mid
23¢
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-05 01:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-40.1¢
(top1%: 40% YES on $18
vs crowd: 81% YES on $115)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $20 | $12 | +$9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $13 | $3 | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $50 | $4 | +$45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $10 | $3 | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $7 | $11 | $4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $2 | +$10 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $53 | $7 | +$47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf5fb…d1ca | Up | +40 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 10-05 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Down | +28 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-05 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +22 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-05 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x46fd…772a | Up | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-05 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | +19 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-05 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-05 01:22 |
| Known-Silkworm 0x6209…e82f | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-05 01:23 |
| Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Down | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-05 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-05 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-05 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb77…b630 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-05 01:19 |
| Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-05 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xddbe…a0c9 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 01:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-05 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0d6…e94c | Down | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-05 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa27f…0ce8 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c31…c7cc | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x53d6…d07a | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 01:20 |
| Ragged-Decoration 0x4c81…4e45 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 01:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 01:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x390f37… |
| 10-05 01:23:28 | Known-Silkworm 0x6209…e82f | Up | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x390f37… |
| 10-05 01:23:26 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x69ad47… |
| 10-05 01:23:26 | (anonymous) 0xf5fb…d1ca | Up | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x69ad47… |
| 10-05 01:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x6d78b5… |
| 10-05 01:22:59 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6d78b5… |
| 10-05 01:22:50 | Tight-Motive 0x512d…035d | Down | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x82cb63… |
| 10-05 01:22:50 | (anonymous) 0xf5fb…d1ca | Up | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x82cb63… |
| 10-05 01:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Down | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x280ee6… |
| 10-05 01:22:41 | (anonymous) 0xf5fb…d1ca | Up | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x280ee6… |
| 10-05 01:22:16 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x94afa3… |
| 10-05 01:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Down | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x94afa3… |
| 10-05 01:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xf5fb…d1ca | Up | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x03e226… |
| 10-05 01:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xddbe…a0c9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x03e226… |
| 10-05 01:21:53 | (anonymous) 0xf0d6…e94c | Down | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x7ff979… |
| 10-05 01:21:53 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x7ff979… |
| 10-05 01:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa943ae… |
| 10-05 01:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xf0d6…e94c | Down | BUY | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa943ae… |
| 10-05 01:21:20 | Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Down | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc72f3f… |
| 10-05 01:21:20 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Up | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xc72f3f… |
| 10-05 01:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x53d6…d07a | Up | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xb44a39… |
| 10-05 01:20:02 | Ragged-Decoration 0x4c81…4e45 | Down | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xb44a39… |
| 10-05 01:19:59 | (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Up | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x68df81… |
| 10-05 01:19:59 | (anonymous) 0xdb77…b630 | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x68df81… |
| 10-05 01:19:55 | (anonymous) 0xc19d…f9fa | Down | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x590d1a… |
| 10-05 01:19:55 | (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x590d1a… |
| 10-05 01:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x46fd…772a | Up | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x66938f… |
| 10-05 01:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Down | BUY | 19 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x66938f… |
| 10-05 00:59:32 | (anonymous) 0x0c31…c7cc | Down | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xe25b03… |
| 10-05 00:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xa27f…0ce8 | Up | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xe25b03… |