Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$890
$45 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$248
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 04:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $102 | $0 | +$102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $527 | $2 | +$524 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $161 | $0 | +$161 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 9 | $27 | $0 | +$27 |
| Below median | 4 | $422 | — | +$422 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderous-Rubric 0x97ab…a19f | Yes | +423 | $414 | $414 | 1 | 05-10 00:13 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | +151 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:46 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +61 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Feminine-President 0x5bfb…e965 | No | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 23:16 |
| Virtual-Underestimate 0x919a…4086 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 22:05 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:31 |
| Tame-Consulting 0x8ede…f8e1 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:02 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9260…311c | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +2 | $2 | $203 | 6 | 05-10 04:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 04:05:06 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x39d64f… |
| 05-10 03:31:02 | (anonymous) 0x4284…4e8c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x59e5da… |
| 05-10 03:31:02 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x875d77… |
| 05-10 03:30:58 | Absolute-Reply 0xd240…562c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x00bff7… |
| 05-10 02:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x9260…311c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1d8a38… |
| 05-10 02:52:16 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8fc349… |
| 05-10 02:31:04 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe6913a… |
| 05-10 02:21:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb44bd6… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xabc2ac… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe294c5… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc84c5d… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd87b65… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf596fd… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe7c2e9… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e2787… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbdbf48… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x54e588… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6ca55f… |
| 05-10 02:13:39 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x0a564d… |
| 05-10 02:11:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48bc4e… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc7890c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xfc5ff9… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf85d10… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x02de17… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2624aa… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe72dfc… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xfbc753… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x384347… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1a48ca… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x35878a… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8726c9… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x693d8c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd96a1d… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6331e6… |
| 05-10 01:46:33 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | BUY | 151 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe759ee… |
| 05-10 01:41:08 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | SELL | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x013ba7… |
| 05-10 01:20:03 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6251b9… |
| 05-10 01:14:46 | Wretched-Eyrie-Delivery 0xf86c…9074 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x05c699… |
| 05-10 01:02:50 | Tame-Consulting 0x8ede…f8e1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x54a42f… |
| 05-10 00:13:33 | Thunderous-Rubric 0x97ab…a19f | Yes | BUY | 423 | 98¢ | $414 | 0x9da3f3… |
| 05-09 23:16:05 | Feminine-President 0x5bfb…e965 | No | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc76420… |
| 05-09 22:40:13 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa729db… |
| 05-09 22:10:12 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xf3eb80… |
| 05-09 22:05:16 | Virtual-Underestimate 0x919a…4086 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x495587… |
| 05-09 20:02:30 | Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x4fa496… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x828c58… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x1467c0… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xdc0db1… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 88¢ | $37 | 0xc9ee6f… |
| 05-09 19:38:27 | Gentle-Oat 0xd302…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xb435e4… |