Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$440
$1,043 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$692
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 18:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $37 | $352 | $315 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $15 | $143 | $128 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $143 | $141 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $15 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $14 | $6 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | +119 | $-0 | $29 | 2 | 05-08 09:39 |
| Ultimate-Subject 0x5bcd…cf4b | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-08 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | +77 | $5 | $22 | 2 | 05-08 09:39 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +61 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 08:14 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-07 16:34 |
| Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Staid-Milepost 0x6d58…17a9 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 05-08 09:40 |
| Sturdy-Disco 0x9d56…8bbc | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 15:22 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-07 17:51 |
| Other-Prestige 0xdf6f…1079 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 10:39 |
| Boring-Workout 0x5fd2…06b9 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-08 10:34 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:40 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:30 |
| Marvelous-Puritan 0x69a7…7fd5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:54 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Horrible-Cowbell 0xdc3c…ad7a | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-08 09:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 21:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:22:39 | Ultimate-Subject 0x5bcd…cf4b | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0x40644c… |
| 05-08 15:22:30 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2439c3… |
| 05-08 10:39:25 | Other-Prestige 0xdf6f…1079 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x240f3d… |
| 05-08 10:34:13 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x8289ca… |
| 05-08 09:55:36 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xea6731… |
| 05-08 09:55:36 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xae38f2… |
| 05-08 09:54:33 | Marvelous-Puritan 0x69a7…7fd5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfda71c… |
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x20b368… |
| 05-08 09:40:54 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x96f72c… |
| 05-08 09:40:30 | Staid-Milepost 0x6d58…17a9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8683e4… |
| 05-08 09:39:30 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcbef30… |
| 05-08 09:39:30 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb8825e… |
| 05-08 09:39:27 | Subdued-Malnutrition 0x06f9…3978 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x28a7d6… |
| 05-08 09:39:25 | Horrible-Cowbell 0xdc3c…ad7a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa30fd4… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7cb028… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | SELL | 85 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xb0e3ee… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x02dd59… |
| 05-08 09:39:21 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x801e68… |
| 05-08 09:39:18 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 12¢ | $15 | 0xdf0a7a… |
| 05-08 09:31:11 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x6fce67… |
| 05-08 09:31:03 | Staid-Milepost 0x6d58…17a9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x20b728… |
| 05-08 09:30:59 | Sturdy-Disco 0x9d56…8bbc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3da90d… |
| 05-08 09:30:54 | Boring-Workout 0x5fd2…06b9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf440b8… |
| 05-08 09:30:42 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0xd4c1b6… |
| 05-08 09:30:40 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x67034e… |
| 05-08 09:30:36 | Horrible-Cowbell 0xdc3c…ad7a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x98b09e… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x3b343a… |
| 05-08 09:30:28 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd42757… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | Qualified-Caddy 0xf229…3058 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x37684e… |
| 05-08 09:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | BUY | 162 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x28dd3f… |
| 05-08 09:30:22 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 6¢ | $14 | 0x545de4… |
| 05-08 09:00:27 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xde9a85… |
| 05-08 08:14:59 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x482f16… |
| 05-08 07:43:22 | Kosher-Brocolli-Sole 0xf529…3ee9 | Yes | SELL | 185 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb4f116… |
| 05-08 06:30:44 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd309f9… |
| 05-08 03:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ff1a6… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x00dc9c… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa55f20… |
| 05-07 21:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x67fe54… |
| 05-07 17:51:09 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x3013ce… |
| 05-07 16:34:14 | Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $52 | 0x5715c7… |
| 05-06 18:15:47 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x40ef46… |