Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 4?
closed
Total volume
$4,490
Trades
23
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-04-27
last 05-04 11:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $253
vs crowd: 100% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $3.2K | $0 | +$3.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | — | $2 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $253 | — | +$253 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3.2K | $0 | +$3.2K |
| Median | 3 | $999 | $2 | +$997 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaintive-Proposition 0x4e11…2c9b | Yes | +3,216 | $3,213 | $3,213 | 1 | 05-01 14:42 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +2,200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-01 15:57 |
| Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-04 11:56 |
| Buoyant-Contest 0x2ae3…bcf6 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 11:56 |
| Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | No | +996 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-01 14:42 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +256 | $253 | $253 | 3 | 04-29 08:32 |
| Our-Sinuosity 0x2c0e…524c | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-27 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fb8…3268 | No | +56 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-29 08:32 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 04-29 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-29 16:24 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-29 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 14:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 11:56:38 | Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xcfb90c… |
| 05-04 11:56:38 | Buoyant-Contest 0x2ae3…bcf6 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcfb90c… |
| 05-01 15:57:08 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03d7d5… |
| 05-01 15:57:08 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 2,200 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x03d7d5… |
| 05-01 15:57:08 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03d7d5… |
| 05-01 15:57:08 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x03d7d5… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Plaintive-Proposition 0x4e11…2c9b | Yes | BUY | 3,216 | 100¢ | $3,213 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1216ba… |
| 05-01 14:42:20 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | No | BUY | 991 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1216ba… |
| 04-29 16:24:36 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x1f1bd7… |
| 04-29 16:24:36 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f1bd7… |
| 04-29 16:24:36 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f1bd7… |
| 04-29 16:24:36 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f1bd7… |
| 04-29 08:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x0fb8…3268 | No | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc6f9b1… |
| 04-29 08:32:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0xc6f9b1… |
| 04-27 20:05:50 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x5a2aa1… |
| 04-27 20:05:50 | Our-Sinuosity 0x2c0e…524c | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5a2aa1… |
| 04-27 20:05:36 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe5fcf5… |
| 04-27 20:05:36 | Our-Sinuosity 0x2c0e…524c | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe5fcf5… |