Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$556
$1,046 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$3,199
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 01:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+99.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 1% YES on $554)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $3 | $510 | $507 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $114 | $114 |
| Median | 6 | — | $44 | $44 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $96 | $96 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $250 | $250 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creative-Diaper 0x29a5…7752 | No | +124 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-13 01:18 |
| Long-Term-Telephone 0x450e…4fdd | No | +124 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-13 01:18 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +98 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-12 09:12 |
| Lasting-Placement 0xcaad…8a4c | Yes | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | +67 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 12:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +35 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:02 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 09:12 |
| Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 00:22 |
| Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 01:08 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 01:18:36 | Creative-Diaper 0x29a5…7752 | No | BUY | 124 | 97¢ | $120 | 0x23bdd6… |
| 05-13 01:18:24 | Long-Term-Telephone 0x450e…4fdd | No | BUY | 124 | 97¢ | $120 | 0xee5457… |
| 05-13 01:08:54 | Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe48fce… |
| 05-13 01:02:50 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x0f731d… |
| 05-13 01:01:34 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8f94c9… |
| 05-13 00:51:24 | Vain-Trek 0xf1ce…90a5 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1b74b4… |
| 05-13 00:48:34 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9af9fc… |
| 05-13 00:22:21 | Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x6152bb… |
| 05-13 00:06:39 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x608928… |
| 05-13 00:02:25 | Outlandish-Ecliptic 0xa8da…096f | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x13c78d… |
| 05-12 23:43:21 | Assured-Warming 0x5931…8ecb | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x24c1f3… |
| 05-12 23:02:17 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x34561d… |
| 05-12 22:47:12 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x847776… |
| 05-12 21:11:16 | Lasting-Placement 0xcaad…8a4c | Yes | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7bff8f… |
| 05-12 21:10:40 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xac3584… |
| 05-12 20:56:26 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x4cf8b8… |
| 05-12 18:01:29 | Passionate-Number 0xd5ee…175b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x113c96… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8dc5f4… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe5ec4… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f98ed… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb43814… |
| 05-12 12:52:44 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe50c83… |
| 05-12 09:12:36 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 98 | 98¢ | $96 | 0x228cd7… |
| 05-12 09:12:28 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xd205f7… |
| 05-12 07:31:06 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4d4b24… |
| 05-12 04:36:01 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc23edb… |
| 05-12 04:29:01 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x1f4454… |
| 05-12 04:18:52 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xc0a6ac… |
| 05-11 15:27:56 | (anonymous) 0xce4d…fe00 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x52da17… |
| 05-11 15:27:56 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xc08a07… |
| 05-11 15:27:54 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x7ca41b… |
| 05-11 15:27:54 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x003201… |
| 05-11 15:27:09 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x11555c… |
| 05-11 15:27:00 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xcafe26… |