Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 3?
closed
Total volume
$580
Trades
61
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-03
First seen
2026-04-27
last 04-28 10:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $508
vs crowd: 2% YES on $575)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $8 | $504 | $496 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $1 | $40 | $39 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $3 | $15 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $508 | $508 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $14 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 4 | $8 | $2 | +$6 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +516 | $504 | $504 | 4 | 04-28 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | +400 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 04-27 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | Yes | +61 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-27 13:05 |
| Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | +28 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 04-28 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 05:07 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 04-28 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 04-28 05:07 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-27 15:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 04-27 13:07 |
| Imaginary-Barge 0xf8df…0571 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-27 13:07 |
| Enchanting-Simplicity 0x3d29…60c7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 04-28 10:13 |
| Angry-Alpaca 0x5424…7a1b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-27 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 04-27 13:05 |
| Untidy-Homogenate 0x2a73…f5dd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 04-27 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f04…4cd8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 05:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3f6…fabd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 05:07 |
| Soft-Dinner 0x5e07…9846 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-27 13:06 |
| Starchy-Fishbone 0x8717…9668 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-28 10:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 10:13:10 | Starchy-Fishbone 0x8717…9668 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc9c372… |
| 04-28 10:13:10 | Enchanting-Simplicity 0x3d29…60c7 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc9c372… |
| 04-28 10:13:10 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xc9c372… |
| 04-28 05:07:44 | Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5e3ab2… |
| 04-28 05:07:44 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x5e3ab2… |
| 04-28 05:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x4f27…1f31 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd8ff73… |
| 04-28 05:07:18 | (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8ff73… |
| 04-28 05:07:16 | Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x010a9e… |
| 04-28 05:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x4f04…4cd8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb0c445… |
| 04-28 05:07:16 | Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb0c445… |
| 04-28 05:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xf3f6…fabd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x010a9e… |
| 04-28 05:07:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6bf5b9… |
| 04-28 05:07:14 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda462f… |
| 04-28 05:07:14 | Ill-Humor 0x1bd0…046f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xda462f… |
| 04-28 05:07:14 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x6bf5b9… |
| 04-27 15:29:46 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd92d69… |
| 04-27 15:29:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd92d69… |
| 04-27 15:29:46 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd92d69… |
| 04-27 15:29:46 | Enchanting-Simplicity 0x3d29…60c7 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xd92d69… |
| 04-27 14:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x031a71… |
| 04-27 14:36:18 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x031a71… |
| 04-27 14:23:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc3cbf5… |
| 04-27 14:23:00 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc3cbf5… |
| 04-27 14:19:26 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9cb359… |
| 04-27 14:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9cb359… |
| 04-27 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ae478… |
| 04-27 13:54:42 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37fa09… |
| 04-27 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x3016…9ffd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37fa09… |
| 04-27 13:54:42 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ae478… |
| 04-27 13:07:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6a10c… |
| 04-27 13:07:48 | Imaginary-Barge 0xf8df…0571 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd6a10c… |
| 04-27 13:06:12 | Soft-Dinner 0x5e07…9846 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x407e35… |
| 04-27 13:06:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x407e35… |
| 04-27 13:06:08 | Untidy-Homogenate 0x2a73…f5dd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6f4a89… |
| 04-27 13:06:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f4a89… |
| 04-27 13:06:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb375a7… |
| 04-27 13:06:06 | Untidy-Homogenate 0x2a73…f5dd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb375a7… |
| 04-27 13:06:04 | Untidy-Homogenate 0x2a73…f5dd | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa83ada… |
| 04-27 13:06:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa83ada… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4b4760… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x493ab4… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 430 | 98¢ | $421 | 0x40a718… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 399 | 2¢ | $8 | 0x40a718… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf0683… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3b0ce6… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b4760… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfb0ee4… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59971d… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbf0683… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1b6d1… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x073827… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xfb0ee4… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Angry-Alpaca 0x5424…7a1b | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x886852… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Edible-Diesel 0x18cf…2bb2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x40a718… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x493ab4… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x59971d… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa1b6d1… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x3b0ce6… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x886852… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Icy-Pride 0x9317…5a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x493ab4… |
| 04-27 13:05:38 | Grimy-Breastplate 0x13ad…65fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x073827… |