Spread: UCF (-3.5)
Arizona State won
Total volume
$1,565
$1,302 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$20,938
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-11-14
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-14 22:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.9¢
(top1%: 51% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 48% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $666 | $601 | +$65 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $7 | $174 | $167 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $103 | $74 | +$29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $20 | $3 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $661 | $628 | +$33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | $20 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $107 | $24 | +$84 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $126 | $126 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xee58…d209 | Arizona State | +909 | $473 | $473 | 1 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | UCF | +545 | $262 | $262 | 2 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Carefree-Significance 0x99f0…9495 | UCF | +395 | $190 | $190 | 4 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | UCF | +236 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 11-10 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f08…c518 | Arizona State | +236 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 11-10 07:00 |
| Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | UCF | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-14 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x958b…f826 | Arizona State | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-14 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfff…e14e | Arizona State | +92 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-13 22:08 |
| Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | UCF | +49 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 11-14 22:19 |
| Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | UCF | +49 | $22 | $61 | 4 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Puzzling-Octave 0xf484…0e02 | Arizona State | +45 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Stimulating-Consensus 0x2734…6d9e | Arizona State | +45 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 11-14 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | UCF | +42 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-13 23:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | +40 | $20 | $20 | 8 | 11-14 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f94…a274 | UCF | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-14 15:31 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-14 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | +25 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 11-14 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | UCF | +11 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-13 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | UCF | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-14 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 11-14 22:39 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | UCF | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-14 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd93e…7434 | UCF | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-14 22:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa881…70f3 | Arizona State | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-14 22:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eea…af80 | UCF | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 22:24 |
| Gorgeous-Concert 0x7d9a…05e6 | UCF | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 22:53 |
| Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-10 16:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 22:57:47 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x223634… |
| 11-14 22:57:47 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | UCF | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x223634… |
| 11-14 22:53:37 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3e28ed… |
| 11-14 22:53:37 | Gorgeous-Concert 0x7d9a…05e6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3e28ed… |
| 11-14 22:53:37 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | UCF | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x3f534e… |
| 11-14 22:53:37 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x3f534e… |
| 11-14 22:53:05 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa4682c… |
| 11-14 22:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa4682c… |
| 11-14 22:53:05 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x9d609b… |
| 11-14 22:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x9d609b… |
| 11-14 22:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x0cc964… |
| 11-14 22:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x0cc964… |
| 11-14 22:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x9acd01… |
| 11-14 22:52:59 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x9acd01… |
| 11-14 22:48:44 | (anonymous) 0x796f…00f6 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x66cc11… |
| 11-14 22:48:44 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x66cc11… |
| 11-14 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x06bdea… |
| 11-14 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd93bcc… |
| 11-14 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0xcac7…37d8 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xd93bcc… |
| 11-14 22:39:26 | (anonymous) 0x3ca9…424a | Arizona State | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x06bdea… |
| 11-14 22:24:56 | Puzzling-Octave 0xf484…0e02 | Arizona State | BUY | 45 | 52¢ | $24 | 0x10e222… |
| 11-14 22:24:56 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | UCF | BUY | 45 | 48¢ | $22 | 0x10e222… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | UCF | BUY | 45 | 47¢ | $21 | 0x90f288… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | UCF | BUY | 500 | 48¢ | $240 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | Stimulating-Consensus 0x2734…6d9e | Arizona State | BUY | 45 | 53¢ | $24 | 0x90f288… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | UCF | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | Carefree-Significance 0x99f0…9495 | UCF | BUY | 198 | 48¢ | $95 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | (anonymous) 0xee58…d209 | Arizona State | BUY | 909 | 52¢ | $473 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | (anonymous) 0x1eea…af80 | UCF | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:24:55 | (anonymous) 0xd93e…7434 | UCF | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x337061… |
| 11-14 22:19:17 | (anonymous) 0xa881…70f3 | Arizona State | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xd3a3e9… |
| 11-14 22:19:17 | Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | UCF | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xd3a3e9… |
| 11-14 15:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x2f94…a274 | UCF | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x14d124… |
| 11-14 15:31:04 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Arizona State | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x14d124… |
| 11-14 00:59:34 | (anonymous) 0x958b…f826 | Arizona State | BUY | 200 | 50¢ | $100 | 0x5d626d… |
| 11-14 00:59:34 | Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | UCF | BUY | 200 | 50¢ | $100 | 0x5d626d… |
| 11-13 23:40:51 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | UCF | SELL | 42 | 46¢ | $19 | 0xa72ac6… |
| 11-13 23:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x32bb…3c1a | UCF | BUY | 42 | 46¢ | $19 | 0xa72ac6… |
| 11-13 22:08:00 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | UCF | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xff4f6e… |
| 11-13 22:08:00 | (anonymous) 0xdfff…e14e | Arizona State | BUY | 92 | 55¢ | $50 | 0xff4f6e… |
| 11-13 22:08:00 | Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | UCF | BUY | 28 | 46¢ | $13 | 0xff4f6e… |
| 11-13 22:08:00 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | UCF | BUY | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0xff4f6e… |
| 11-10 16:29:13 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Arizona State | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x8cbe69… |
| 11-10 16:29:13 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | UCF | BUY | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x8cbe69… |
| 11-10 07:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x1f08…c518 | Arizona State | BUY | 236 | 55¢ | $130 | 0x1320d9… |
| 11-10 07:00:09 | Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74 | UCF | BUY | 236 | 45¢ | $106 | 0x1320d9… |