Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$203
$60 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,165
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 02:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $100 | $37 | +$63 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $47 | $2 | +$45 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Median | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 9 | $20 | $17 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| unranked | 4 | $13 | $14 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +61 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 05-08 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +33 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-08 01:57 |
| Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | +30 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 01:02 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +26 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-08 01:37 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +26 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-08 01:12 |
| Exhausted-Slaw 0xabfc…173e | Yes | +26 | $5 | $11 | 2 | 05-07 19:36 |
| Queasy-Passport 0xa9b2…a221 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 01:02 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 01:12 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 01:12 |
| Cylindrical-Auto 0x0296…ad01 | No | +8 | $11 | $13 | 2 | 05-08 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x936a…f6ce | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8858…9776 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 19:36 |
| Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:21 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:03 |
| Meek-Meter 0x6a84…8094 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 00:12 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 01:37 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 00:13 |
| Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:15 |
| Drafty-Nightingale 0x3221…f1be | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 19:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 02:02:26 | Cylindrical-Auto 0x0296…ad01 | No | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5f7732… |
| 05-08 01:57:30 | Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 75¢ | $23 | 0xd2a40c… |
| 05-08 01:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 80¢ | $26 | 0xcb1ee5… |
| 05-08 01:52:31 | Spotted-Sand 0x1048…e362 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x067481… |
| 05-08 01:52:27 | Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | SELL | 2 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x0a09bf… |
| 05-08 01:37:35 | (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xeaf755… |
| 05-08 01:37:23 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x0f8e67… |
| 05-08 01:37:23 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $14 | 0xafa4be… |
| 05-08 01:37:19 | (anonymous) 0x936a…f6ce | No | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x835276… |
| 05-08 01:12:35 | (anonymous) 0xf585…9063 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc1c25e… |
| 05-08 01:12:35 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 50¢ | $17 | 0x6dad18… |
| 05-08 01:12:32 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x44d4b7… |
| 05-08 01:12:30 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x2b09ab… |
| 05-08 01:12:30 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x31bd45… |
| 05-08 01:12:28 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xca9dc2… |
| 05-08 01:12:28 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xaa7062… |
| 05-08 01:12:28 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 50¢ | $13 | 0xeeae00… |
| 05-08 01:02:33 | Astonishing-Mask 0x7630…789d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x58ddac… |
| 05-08 01:02:26 | Queasy-Passport 0xa9b2…a221 | No | BUY | 19 | 76¢ | $14 | 0xeb12cd… |
| 05-08 00:34:23 | Cylindrical-Auto 0x0296…ad01 | No | BUY | 18 | 65¢ | $12 | 0x156731… |
| 05-08 00:15:15 | Raw-Decrease 0x1b9b…3e8e | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x11ee97… |
| 05-08 00:13:58 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xc90c0f… |
| 05-07 23:51:44 | Agitated-Vision 0xfc0b…a782 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xe51208… |
| 05-07 19:41:38 | Drafty-Nightingale 0x3221…f1be | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x76dd11… |
| 05-07 19:36:47 | (anonymous) 0x8858…9776 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4145d3… |
| 05-07 19:36:39 | Exhausted-Slaw 0xabfc…173e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x01f1a2… |
| 05-07 13:21:20 | Acidic-Inlaws 0x477c…d7f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x123249… |
| 05-07 11:27:56 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1810b5… |
| 05-07 10:15:44 | Exhausted-Slaw 0xabfc…173e | Yes | BUY | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xdd3b33… |
| 05-07 00:12:57 | Meek-Meter 0x6a84…8094 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x4b25a4… |
| 05-06 18:03:21 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x6550ae… |
| 05-06 16:07:27 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xc8f28c… |