Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$264
$4,194 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$1,498
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $25 | $237 | $212 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $51 | $51 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $13 | $9 |
| Median | 10 | $1 | $42 | $41 |
| Below median | 10 | $6 | $30 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $1 | $97 | $96 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $13 | $3 | +$10 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitiful-Cilantro 0xbe99…9ca7 | Yes | +184 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 05:22 |
| Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | +105 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 04:44 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +83 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +47 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +46 | $3 | $7 | 4 | 05-08 06:35 |
| Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 10:16 |
| Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 05-07 23:11 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 21:16 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 13:52 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-08 06:09 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:38 |
| Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 03:52 |
| Valid-Month 0xd10b…9f18 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 20:00 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:47 |
| Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 02:07 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Curvy-Composition 0xfa13…c204 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Jam-Packed-Answer 0xbc82…5e98 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:35:43 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd20f7a… |
| 05-08 06:33:53 | (anonymous) 0x8f51…8b09 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x84f4f9… |
| 05-08 06:33:48 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xfd8e66… |
| 05-08 06:33:46 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb73d57… |
| 05-08 06:09:55 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x4ad97f… |
| 05-08 06:03:47 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x34a536… |
| 05-08 05:38:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf38b06… |
| 05-08 05:22:38 | Pitiful-Cilantro 0xbe99…9ca7 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x67b18c… |
| 05-08 04:47:22 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87231e… |
| 05-08 04:44:53 | Frugal-Vibration 0xa8ae…7f3e | Yes | BUY | 105 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xcb18bb… |
| 05-08 04:14:39 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0b1905… |
| 05-08 02:07:22 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xa66d30… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | Curvy-Composition 0xfa13…c204 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xf7a8b1… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xd404e7… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xa18744… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x450996… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 32 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x8aace6… |
| 05-07 23:16:37 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xb95cfc… |
| 05-07 23:16:27 | Jam-Packed-Answer 0xbc82…5e98 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x51c565… |
| 05-07 23:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaf2538… |
| 05-07 23:11:27 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2c9fd1… |
| 05-07 23:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf995b5… |
| 05-07 23:11:12 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8cb2cc… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x82efac… |
| 05-07 23:01:15 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf2fb8a… |
| 05-07 23:01:10 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x644b26… |
| 05-07 23:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x41decf… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x8dc2f9… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1dfceb… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xa4e531… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x6021f7… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 83 | 89¢ | $74 | 0xea63b5… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Pointed-Hazel 0x9770…d57d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x1db052… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xe4c4c6… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xa6031a… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x3fc360… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x21cfe0… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x6d8c36… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x143ae7… |
| 05-07 21:16:46 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x73d3aa… |
| 05-07 10:16:19 | Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x67fd10… |
| 05-07 03:52:57 | Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xc672be… |
| 05-07 03:52:54 | Delicious-Dysfunction 0x4254…1d02 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xe0d9c4… |
| 05-07 03:08:13 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9f9963… |
| 05-06 20:00:08 | Valid-Month 0xd10b…9f18 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x1246e1… |
| 05-06 18:38:19 | Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb721f9… |
| 05-06 13:52:38 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe704b1… |