Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$201
$1,539 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$870
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $93 | $93 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $40 | $43 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $93 | $93 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $23 | $19 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $10 | +$0 |
| Below median | 13 | $17 | $10 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +104 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 05-09 13:23 |
| Shrill-Restriction 0xa1af…b4a9 | Yes | +63 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:06 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 17:14 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 08:55 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 00:53 |
| Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 07:36 |
| Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 05-10 07:33 |
| Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:08 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:54 |
| Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:32 |
| Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| Beneficial-Cayenne 0x52f7…b1a8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:11 |
| Vain-Marathon 0xdc49…08a9 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:21 |
| Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| Angelic-Continent 0x9754…4696 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 01:30 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:54:26 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x15cc76… |
| 05-10 07:36:44 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xddbdcc… |
| 05-10 07:33:14 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcfaf72… |
| 05-10 07:23:35 | Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x84b9ca… |
| 05-10 07:21:32 | Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xc5868f… |
| 05-10 07:08:39 | Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x96b355… |
| 05-10 07:06:43 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xccf22d… |
| 05-10 07:02:47 | Angelic-Continent 0x9754…4696 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x33d5c1… |
| 05-10 07:01:39 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x83befc… |
| 05-10 06:52:26 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x998ea3… |
| 05-10 06:37:23 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xd0dccd… |
| 05-10 05:06:35 | Second-Cheetah 0x7d11…035a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x814509… |
| 05-10 05:01:58 | Second-Cheetah 0x7d11…035a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x724e05… |
| 05-10 04:22:08 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x722ca8… |
| 05-10 04:01:24 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xf4995b… |
| 05-10 04:01:22 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x05cba5… |
| 05-10 03:56:54 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9f0c42… |
| 05-10 02:35:05 | Vain-Marathon 0xdc49…08a9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc322db… |
| 05-10 02:20:18 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc13a07… |
| 05-10 02:11:47 | Beneficial-Cayenne 0x52f7…b1a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7033e3… |
| 05-10 02:01:21 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf20d57… |
| 05-10 01:06:06 | Shrill-Restriction 0xa1af…b4a9 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 16¢ | $10 | 0xa92f6c… |
| 05-10 00:53:41 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x24a520… |
| 05-10 00:00:16 | Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xcf1b25… |
| 05-09 19:32:56 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xbc9c23… |
| 05-09 19:32:56 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb37727… |
| 05-09 18:57:02 | Flawless-Brother-Crab 0xd092…a689 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0c3f11… |
| 05-09 17:14:15 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x259e05… |
| 05-09 16:04:53 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xebbfc0… |
| 05-09 15:27:02 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xff88d8… |
| 05-09 15:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x563b38… |
| 05-09 14:08:22 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x09123c… |
| 05-09 13:48:23 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xeb7d2b… |
| 05-09 13:23:29 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x30a617… |
| 05-09 13:23:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 93 | 90¢ | $83 | 0x131672… |
| 05-09 01:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7db40e… |
| 05-09 01:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x60f17b… |
| 05-08 20:10:15 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x4e7473… |
| 05-08 08:55:57 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x2a0742… |