Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$238
$18 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$2,275
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 16:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $105 | $104 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $0 | $39 | $39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $54 | $54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 9 | $0 | $143 | $143 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +280 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +89 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-15 07:44 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +47 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 05-15 22:08 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 14:02 |
| Unknown-Airport 0xb6f7…45d5 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-16 08:21 |
| Ironclad-Tog 0xa26b…b683 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 11:16 |
| Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 13:59 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 05:15 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 23:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:16:26 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x579bec… |
| 05-16 14:02:23 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde5e71… |
| 05-16 14:02:20 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87d057… |
| 05-16 14:02:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 194 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc2ed0… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcf899… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x884ccf… |
| 05-16 14:02:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e9953… |
| 05-16 08:21:24 | Unknown-Airport 0xb6f7…45d5 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x75c9bd… |
| 05-15 22:08:38 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xeb0060… |
| 05-15 22:08:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x157f71… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe7107d… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5b092… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90cc00… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x139583… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21086c… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5bce4e… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x31de4b… |
| 05-15 21:45:39 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe69bd9… |
| 05-15 20:38:18 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d7717… |
| 05-15 11:16:53 | Ironclad-Tog 0xa26b…b683 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xd5a927… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x127c1a… |
| 05-15 09:44:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd6e3d… |
| 05-15 07:44:26 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 89 | 100¢ | $88 | 0x936288… |
| 05-14 23:17:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xf792a7… |
| 05-14 13:59:17 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xc423b2… |
| 05-14 13:25:41 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x670a77… |
| 05-14 12:57:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xeaeddf… |
| 05-14 05:15:29 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcb59f2… |