Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 10?
Yes won
Total volume
$956
Trades
66
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-10
First seen
2026-10-08
last 10-10 22:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.9¢
(top1%: 54% YES on $81
vs crowd: 79% YES on $727)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $481 | $38 | +$443 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $88 | $109 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $9 | $3 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $44 | $37 | +$7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $24 | $82 | $58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | $2 | +$6 |
| Median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | $54 | — | +$54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $236 | $22 | +$214 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $211 | $4 | +$206 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serene-Sculpting 0xf0f8…325f | Yes | +205 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 10-10 22:09 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-10 21:25 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | +125 | $41 | $41 | 7 | 10-09 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | +120 | $82 | $82 | 5 | 10-09 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | +45 | $22 | $22 | 9 | 10-10 21:25 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 10-08 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-10 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xaebd…a26f | Yes | +36 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 10-10 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +30 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-10 11:58 |
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +29 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 10-10 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | +25 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 10-09 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x914a…9642 | Yes | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-10 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-08 05:25 |
| Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-10 11:58 |
| Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-10 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-08 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x918d…70a1 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-08 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf73b…10bf | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 07:07 |
| Shy-Icicle 0x4512…1857 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-10 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x461c…4825 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 05:26 |
| Evil-Watcher 0x2986…b3a9 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-10 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b31…4eb6 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $10 | 2 | 10-10 22:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:09:00 | Serene-Sculpting 0xf0f8…325f | Yes | BUY | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0x2aa2ea… |
| 10-10 22:09:00 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | Yes | SELL | 205 | 100¢ | $205 | 0x2aa2ea… |
| 10-10 22:07:09 | Shy-Icicle 0x4512…1857 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x09eacc… |
| 10-10 22:07:09 | (anonymous) 0x9b31…4eb6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x09eacc… |
| 10-10 21:25:00 | Sweaty-Squash 0xf960…ba50 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 99¢ | $203 | 0x333c98… |
| 10-10 21:25:00 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x333c98… |
| 10-10 21:25:00 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x333c98… |
| 10-10 11:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd14fdb… |
| 10-10 11:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xaebd…a26f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 88¢ | $32 | 0xd14fdb… |
| 10-10 11:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd14fdb… |
| 10-10 11:58:42 | Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd14fdb… |
| 10-10 11:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x914a…9642 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xccd1e8… |
| 10-10 11:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xccd1e8… |
| 10-10 08:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x376096… |
| 10-10 08:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x9b31…4eb6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x376096… |
| 10-10 06:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6095a6… |
| 10-10 06:24:09 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6095a6… |
| 10-10 06:24:09 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6095a6… |
| 10-10 06:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x674ae0… |
| 10-10 06:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x674ae0… |
| 10-10 06:23:51 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x674ae0… |
| 10-10 06:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x674ae0… |
| 10-10 06:23:51 | Evil-Watcher 0x2986…b3a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x674ae0… |
| 10-10 06:16:37 | Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x6a321b… |
| 10-10 06:16:37 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x6a321b… |
| 10-10 06:16:37 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6a321b… |
| 10-09 04:03:10 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 33¢ | $18 | 0x821ddc… |
| 10-09 04:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 55 | 67¢ | $37 | 0x821ddc… |
| 10-09 03:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa6d594… |
| 10-09 03:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xa6d594… |
| 10-08 07:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x851637… |
| 10-08 07:28:22 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x851637… |
| 10-08 07:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x918d…70a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x851637… |
| 10-08 07:16:04 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0a8bf9… |
| 10-08 07:16:04 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x0a8bf9… |
| 10-08 07:14:50 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x6df6a7… |
| 10-08 07:14:50 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x6df6a7… |
| 10-08 07:12:19 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x839d36… |
| 10-08 07:12:19 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x839d36… |
| 10-08 07:07:05 | (anonymous) 0xf73b…10bf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb8ac47… |
| 10-08 07:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xb8ac47… |
| 10-08 06:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x6f0ac5… |
| 10-08 06:58:07 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x6f0ac5… |
| 10-08 06:55:11 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xa07118… |
| 10-08 06:55:11 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xa07118… |
| 10-08 05:52:26 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xf66a14… |
| 10-08 05:52:26 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 34¢ | $9 | 0xf66a14… |
| 10-08 05:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xa3dd09… |
| 10-08 05:26:35 | (anonymous) 0x461c…4825 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xa3dd09… |
| 10-08 05:26:01 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5dab54… |
| 10-08 05:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x5dab54… |
| 10-08 05:25:58 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x9e7e5e… |
| 10-08 05:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 24 | 70¢ | $17 | 0x9e7e5e… |
| 10-08 05:25:53 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xde61f0… |
| 10-08 05:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xde61f0… |
| 10-08 05:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xde61f0… |
| 10-08 05:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xde61f0… |
| 10-08 05:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xe791bf… |
| 10-08 05:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x4ead…f30c | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xe791bf… |
| 10-08 05:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4527ef… |
| 10-08 05:25:31 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x4527ef… |
| 10-08 05:25:29 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x1c9814… |
| 10-08 05:25:29 | (anonymous) 0x4fcf…5244 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x1c9814… |
| 10-08 05:25:29 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x36fa0e… |
| 10-08 05:25:29 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x36fa0e… |
| 10-08 05:25:29 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | No | BUY | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x1c9814… |