Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$386
$502 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,388
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | — | $306 | $306 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $104 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $26 | $26 |
| Median | 9 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $223 | $223 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +224 | $223 | $223 | 1 | 05-07 08:29 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Our-Snowflake 0x3f2a…5272 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-07 11:43 |
| Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 10:35 |
| Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 04:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x09f579… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3ac4e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x51bd5d… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0767cf… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76c010… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22f4ea… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf9b10c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06f8a5… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14fa43… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x490b82… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x708b6f… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34df73… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x472295… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61ba43… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x4a7b6b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb817b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x369123… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8784e5… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x3cf962… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f8719… |
| 05-07 11:43:32 | Our-Snowflake 0x3f2a…5272 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xc47f1f… |
| 05-07 10:35:10 | Grubby-Meteor 0xbd63…a019 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x2ea6b4… |
| 05-07 08:29:05 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 224 | 100¢ | $223 | 0x688836… |
| 05-06 05:05:08 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdab8ba… |
| 05-06 04:19:00 | Selfish-Redhead 0x33d4…2256 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1daad6… |