Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$267
$1,482 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$1,739
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 00:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $29
vs crowd: 13% YES on $214)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $28 | $126 | $98 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 6 | $6 | $43 | $38 |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $24 | $18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $17 | $8 | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $41 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +52 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 01:00 |
| Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | Yes | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:39 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 00:04 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 23:31 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-09 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x59ad…0cf2 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 21:44 |
| Pristine-Electrocardiogram 0x7430…fd36 | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-09 01:00 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-09 14:48 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 05:45 |
| Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 07:14 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 05:57 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 01:00 |
| Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:13 |
| Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 22:16 |
| Decimal-Boundary 0x3926…9d3e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:43 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 14:43 |
| Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 00:04:44 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x4603b6… |
| 05-09 23:31:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xded97c… |
| 05-09 23:31:15 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x5600c6… |
| 05-09 21:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…0cf2 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x6fc2d6… |
| 05-09 18:52:58 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x599ea8… |
| 05-09 18:52:57 | Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x371a30… |
| 05-09 18:37:06 | Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x64e2b3… |
| 05-09 14:48:40 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdb41b9… |
| 05-09 14:48:28 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0ab93c… |
| 05-09 14:43:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb8adf9… |
| 05-09 14:13:05 | Simple-Ozone 0x5645…e203 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2935b2… |
| 05-09 13:43:01 | Decimal-Boundary 0x3926…9d3e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x681323… |
| 05-09 11:35:07 | Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x874022… |
| 05-09 10:10:20 | Fabulous-Occasion 0x0450…bd51 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xa66dd7… |
| 05-09 09:19:35 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6ac9fc… |
| 05-09 07:14:45 | Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0xbf9b53… |
| 05-09 05:49:51 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x951f60… |
| 05-09 03:15:35 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x4201e7… |
| 05-09 01:00:27 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x32948c… |
| 05-09 01:00:27 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x05f8ad… |
| 05-09 01:00:27 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xeb9a41… |
| 05-09 01:00:27 | Pristine-Electrocardiogram 0x7430…fd36 | No | BUY | 21 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xc113e4… |
| 05-09 00:39:40 | Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x002e1e… |
| 05-09 00:34:23 | Fabulous-Occasion 0x0450…bd51 | No | SELL | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x163344… |
| 05-08 22:31:27 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc87f7c… |
| 05-08 22:16:25 | Tight-Integer 0x748b…16e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0bfad8… |
| 05-08 20:05:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1dfd9e… |
| 05-08 14:25:21 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x7f7d47… |
| 05-08 05:57:34 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x9f9c9b… |
| 05-08 05:45:25 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x84c14e… |