Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 8?
Yes won
Total volume
$460
Trades
34
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-08 19:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.9¢
(top1%: 93% YES on $201
vs crowd: 69% YES on $452)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $187 | $14 | +$173 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $0 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $112 | $125 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $14 | $0 | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $187 | $14 | +$173 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $76 | — | +$76 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Below median | 6 | $30 | $3 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $14 | $122 | $108 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +310 | $187 | $187 | 4 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | +305 | $121 | $121 | 4 | 05-08 18:32 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +100 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +88 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-08 14:00 |
| Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-08 16:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-08 16:38 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 16:04 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 18:14 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 18:14 |
| Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-08 19:55 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 08:48 |
| Fantastic-Birthday 0xde88…b496 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 08:48 |
| Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 19:55 |
| Corny-Nectar 0xe218…f813 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 19:52 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa055…d8e0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 19:59:55 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30cbec… |
| 05-08 19:59:55 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x30cbec… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8f615… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd8f615… |
| 05-08 19:52:36 | Corny-Nectar 0xe218…f813 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf56488… |
| 05-08 19:52:36 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf56488… |
| 05-08 18:32:31 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b981a… |
| 05-08 18:32:31 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b981a… |
| 05-08 18:14:27 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7f97cd… |
| 05-08 18:14:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7f97cd… |
| 05-08 16:44:29 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5da0bf… |
| 05-08 16:44:29 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5da0bf… |
| 05-08 16:38:47 | Small-Observation 0x7b8d…f1e3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xaa4b8c… |
| 05-08 16:38:47 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaa4b8c… |
| 05-08 16:04:28 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x85915a… |
| 05-08 16:04:28 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x85915a… |
| 05-08 14:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xa055…d8e0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x1e009b… |
| 05-08 14:25:55 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1e009b… |
| 05-08 14:25:49 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xc02ed2… |
| 05-08 14:25:49 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xc02ed2… |
| 05-08 14:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xfe289e… |
| 05-08 14:24:25 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfe289e… |
| 05-08 14:00:43 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x85f582… |
| 05-08 14:00:43 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x85f582… |
| 05-08 14:00:29 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 88 | 86¢ | $76 | 0x32c558… |
| 05-08 14:00:29 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 88 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x32c558… |
| 05-08 13:52:50 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 100 | 29¢ | $29 | 0xaba169… |
| 05-08 13:52:50 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 71¢ | $71 | 0xaba169… |
| 05-08 13:45:06 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 100 | 41¢ | $41 | 0x9fb27f… |
| 05-08 13:45:06 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x9fb27f… |
| 05-08 13:34:05 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x0aeec8… |
| 05-08 13:34:05 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0x0aeec8… |
| 05-08 08:48:01 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x749ee2… |
| 05-08 08:48:01 | Fantastic-Birthday 0xde88…b496 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x749ee2… |