Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$165
$570 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,596
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 15:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-8.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $33
vs crowd: 9% YES on $162)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $15 | $115 | $100 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $21 | $21 |
| Median | 2 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Below median | 8 | $6 | $14 | $8 |
| unranked | 5 | $9 | $11 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +59 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 05-06 07:19 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +39 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Quick-Drug 0xb65e…190d | Yes | +33 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-07 05:28 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-07 15:46 |
| Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 18:35 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 10:08 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-07 00:09 |
| Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 05:13 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 18:54 |
| Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5359…14cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb245…b447 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 14:16 |
| True-Shallot 0xedf0…979c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:25 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 03:03 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 06:53 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 06:03 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 08:44 |
| Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 05:48 |
| Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 15:46:21 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x9f3f84… |
| 05-07 15:41:21 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x67fb3a… |
| 05-07 15:11:43 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x17f45c… |
| 05-07 15:11:43 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2e1902… |
| 05-07 14:41:09 | (anonymous) 0x5359…14cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd2df7e… |
| 05-07 14:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xb245…b447 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7cbb29… |
| 05-07 12:30:50 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x6afc6c… |
| 05-07 11:30:30 | Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xbf6013… |
| 05-07 10:08:13 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x53aceb… |
| 05-07 09:25:41 | True-Shallot 0xedf0…979c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x122d14… |
| 05-07 08:44:06 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 3 | 80¢ | $2 | 0x0c3e93… |
| 05-07 06:53:39 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xc21ac3… |
| 05-07 06:03:25 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x78f1d8… |
| 05-07 05:48:50 | Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x0e2c0c… |
| 05-07 05:28:08 | Quick-Drug 0xb65e…190d | Yes | BUY | 33 | 24¢ | $8 | 0x7e5485… |
| 05-07 05:13:20 | Gigantic-Raid 0xba56…9b6b | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xe1542f… |
| 05-07 03:03:42 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x38b9dc… |
| 05-07 00:09:27 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x9446ab… |
| 05-06 19:14:24 | Assured-Labour 0xc2b3…2230 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7c0219… |
| 05-06 18:54:27 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x3cf2fa… |
| 05-06 18:48:07 | Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc52714… |
| 05-06 18:37:58 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x2a585e… |
| 05-06 18:35:10 | Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0x7e8da4… |
| 05-06 07:19:34 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x297d33… |
| 05-06 07:19:18 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0x637b45… |
| 05-06 07:19:04 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x16edd9… |