True-Shallot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-08 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-1

Politics

34% 33% +$4

Crypto

8% 100% +$2

Sports

7% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	35¢	$1	+$0	06-04 11:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	3	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 23:39
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 23:39
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	06-06 03:19
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 12:34
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	04-29 09:13
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	2	$5	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 09:47
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-08 03:31
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$4	278	0	+278	open	—	05-18 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 10:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 09:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-17 08:38
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	+$6	05-10 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 10:29
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	$-1	05-10 10:20
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	05-18 09:05
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-18 08:41
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	1	$1	28	0	+28	open	—	05-11 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-11 12:46
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 12:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$1	37	0	+37	No	$-1	05-02 11:55
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-04 11:04
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	56	0	+56	open	—	05-14 14:13
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	$-1	05-11 06:49
Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 12:46
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-12 11:21
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-18 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 23:39:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6dedcf…
06-08 10:04:10	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5d60d1…
06-08 03:31:22	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x8e2821…
06-06 03:19:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x16a7b2…
06-06 03:08:30	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6d7903…
06-06 02:59:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2549f5…
06-04 11:04:36	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x58d3bb…
06-04 11:04:24	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x563683…
05-18 09:47:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0x653a87…
05-18 09:05:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x0f655c…
05-18 09:05:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0e2c09…
05-18 09:05:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x486ac5…
05-18 08:41:46	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xec82a7…
05-17 08:38:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x548a94…
05-14 14:13:16	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x41317b…
05-12 11:21:45	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf3eec7…
05-11 12:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x116c44…
05-11 12:03:37	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x20dd44…
05-11 06:49:44	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4797ae…
05-11 06:48:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x66361c…
05-10 10:21:28	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x823527…
05-10 10:20:46	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3b1c0d…
05-03 10:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xdbb81e…
05-03 10:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf5de9…
05-03 09:43:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe1963b…
05-02 12:46:18	Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xcab5a9…
05-02 11:55:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x221867…
05-01 23:39:00	Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x44e136…
05-01 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa194c4…
04-30 13:42:24	Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc0c01f…
04-30 13:39:20	Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x69fbeb…
04-29 12:34:06	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe35d7e…
04-29 12:33:52	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdd9c3a…
04-29 09:47:34	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x123f1f…
04-29 09:13:10	Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x9a7de1…
04-29 08:56:18	Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x374da5…