Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$385
$1,231 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,671
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $17 | $314 | $297 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $153 | $152 |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $37 | $35 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $4 | $108 | $103 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | $16 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Notion 0x36da…907b | No | +165 | $138 | $138 | 1 | 05-11 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | +118 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 16:38 |
| Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:01 |
| Nimble-Evidence 0xdd0b…ad9e | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 21:20 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 02:38 |
| Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-11 11:53 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 23:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 11:53 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 10:15 |
| Hideous-Herbs 0xc9e1…7521 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 02:14 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 23:18 |
| Unconscious-Wick 0xf2bb…ae21 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 06:24 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:23 |
| Miserable-Contribution 0x1be5…66bf | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 01:22 |
| Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:29 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:33 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 08:00 |
| Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 11:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:38:07 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0x65b385… |
| 05-13 02:33:16 | Unkempt-Leopard 0x291d…8e36 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x9b6907… |
| 05-13 02:14:07 | Hideous-Herbs 0xc9e1…7521 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xd7cbcb… |
| 05-12 21:01:32 | Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xce669d… |
| 05-12 20:42:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x28a099… |
| 05-12 11:27:37 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb337a7… |
| 05-12 07:31:17 | Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xc5829f… |
| 05-12 01:24:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf09243… |
| 05-12 01:22:58 | (anonymous) 0x8f07…6293 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x98899d… |
| 05-12 00:18:15 | Miserable-Contribution 0x1be5…66bf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbf8879… |
| 05-11 23:38:03 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6a45b6… |
| 05-11 23:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7c90ae… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xa1d7ca… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x3ad2cc… |
| 05-11 21:20:30 | Nimble-Evidence 0xdd0b…ad9e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd48d7c… |
| 05-11 16:38:42 | (anonymous) 0x3507…71d7 | No | BUY | 118 | 85¢ | $100 | 0x061898… |
| 05-11 14:32:19 | Trained-Notion 0x36da…907b | No | BUY | 165 | 84¢ | $138 | 0x5e19e7… |
| 05-11 13:55:50 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xcc55d4… |
| 05-11 11:53:23 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x8071df… |
| 05-11 11:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x7e2c9f… |
| 05-11 11:53:21 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x3485b8… |
| 05-11 11:53:21 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa328a8… |
| 05-11 11:53:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xcaf199… |
| 05-11 10:15:53 | Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x4705aa… |
| 05-11 10:15:51 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8755b3… |
| 05-11 10:15:51 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x76ca84… |
| 05-11 08:00:08 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x20f6e2… |
| 05-11 06:24:04 | Unconscious-Wick 0xf2bb…ae21 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x317db3… |
| 05-11 05:33:40 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x66faaf… |
| 05-11 05:29:28 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xf0b19d… |