Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$369
$919 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$1,703
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $215 | $97 | +$118 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $153 | $35 | +$118 |
| Median | 8 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
| Below median | 8 | $24 | $15 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $19 | $10 | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 7 | $7 | $24 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | +336 | $148 | $148 | 3 | 05-12 21:07 |
| Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | +50 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 13:27 |
| Critical-Herring 0x3b82…b217 | Yes | +29 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Frequent-Majorleague 0xa785…acb6 | Yes | +26 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4de…f9c4 | No | +21 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 23:16 |
| Immediate-Glove 0x8be2…80bc | Yes | +16 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 03:51 |
| Enchanting-Fanlight 0x7202…d285 | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 23:07 |
| Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Bite-Sized-Sleeping 0xf47e…a914 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 02:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 16:36 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:47 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:47 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:47 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Faint-Concrete 0x0457…3856 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 09:52 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 21:47 |
| Complicated-Puppy 0x7f71…79a6 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:41 |
| Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 21:21 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| Thorny-Cicada 0x423e…a3a6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 11:27 |
| Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:36 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:01 |
| Jittery-Abdomen 0xcdcd…542a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:36 |
| Frequent-Bachelor 0x2997…9ec6 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:45 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:12:25 | Wiry-Chart 0xf590…303c | No | SELL | 35 | 57¢ | $20 | 0xb56523… |
| 05-13 02:03:00 | Bite-Sized-Sleeping 0xf47e…a914 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x2e7af3… |
| 05-13 01:12:38 | Frequent-Majorleague 0xa785…acb6 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x1f5148… |
| 05-13 01:02:41 | Our-Luck 0x888b…623d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x4c3df3… |
| 05-13 00:16:45 | Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1e4f2d… |
| 05-12 23:53:35 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xd4115a… |
| 05-12 23:36:05 | Jittery-Abdomen 0xcdcd…542a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x63ff3f… |
| 05-12 23:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xb4de…f9c4 | No | BUY | 21 | 65¢ | $14 | 0x3b6a19… |
| 05-12 23:07:06 | Enchanting-Fanlight 0x7202…d285 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 37¢ | $6 | 0xd53450… |
| 05-12 22:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xa12f…9f41 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xa7dcc2… |
| 05-12 22:58:26 | Critical-Herring 0x3b82…b217 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xc6f3d2… |
| 05-12 22:45:57 | Frequent-Bachelor 0x2997…9ec6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x8a4fc0… |
| 05-12 21:47:58 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x2cc4d2… |
| 05-12 21:47:58 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x3d4cb1… |
| 05-12 21:47:54 | (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | No | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x7cb380… |
| 05-12 21:47:53 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x28693c… |
| 05-12 21:47:51 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x2e8409… |
| 05-12 21:27:40 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xe81507… |
| 05-12 21:27:40 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x7d1431… |
| 05-12 21:21:29 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x727ead… |
| 05-12 21:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 9 | 47¢ | $4 | 0xabe301… |
| 05-12 21:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 62¢ | $49 | 0x282283… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 49¢ | $50 | 0x332b8c… |
| 05-12 21:00:57 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 32¢ | $49 | 0x496ffc… |
| 05-12 19:41:16 | Complicated-Puppy 0x7f71…79a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x5e4618… |
| 05-12 18:01:27 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x981e2b… |
| 05-12 17:27:11 | Candid-Shovel 0x5b44…e2fc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x216e61… |
| 05-12 16:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x6fd4…5cfc | No | BUY | 12 | 69¢ | $8 | 0xf3ec6e… |
| 05-12 16:32:11 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x3b182a… |
| 05-12 14:02:52 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x267157… |
| 05-12 11:27:30 | Thorny-Cicada 0x423e…a3a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x74f1f7… |
| 05-12 10:36:50 | Complicated-Fox 0xa498…9dcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0c211c… |
| 05-12 09:52:37 | Faint-Concrete 0x0457…3856 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0x4d8caf… |
| 05-12 07:55:59 | Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x95af03… |
| 05-12 03:51:01 | Immediate-Glove 0x8be2…80bc | Yes | BUY | 16 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xed0360… |
| 05-12 03:48:58 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xfc53b0… |
| 05-12 00:08:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x89b28c… |
| 05-12 00:08:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x02f979… |
| 05-12 00:08:23 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd90775… |
| 05-12 00:07:34 | Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xecbecb… |
| 05-11 21:31:26 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x033186… |
| 05-11 21:31:26 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x240506… |
| 05-11 13:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x1debf7… |
| 05-11 10:26:00 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x96d947… |
| 05-11 08:44:37 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x1669b7… |
| 05-11 08:44:35 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x58246e… |
| 05-11 07:30:01 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x6ee9cb… |