Will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit 70 by April 30?
closed
Total volume
$1,199
Trades
28
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-04-26
last 05-01 08:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $99
vs crowd: 3% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $9 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $1 | $63 | $62 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $99 | $99 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $24 | $999 | $975 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $0 | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $62 | $62 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internal-Mama 0xe7bf…889b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 08:17 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-01 08:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +150 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 05-01 01:04 |
| Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-01 01:04 |
| Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | +72 | $62 | $62 | 7 | 04-30 13:40 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-01 00:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-01 00:23 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 13:40 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 04:01 |
| Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-27 00:20 |
| Rosy-Influence 0x6c2f…ba60 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-27 00:20 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-29 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-29 20:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 08:17:28 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xf5fc36… |
| 05-01 08:17:28 | Internal-Mama 0xe7bf…889b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf5fc36… |
| 05-01 01:04:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x64829e… |
| 05-01 01:04:50 | Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x64829e… |
| 05-01 00:23:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x26c7b1… |
| 05-01 00:23:18 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…f2c6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x26c7b1… |
| 04-30 13:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x62f801… |
| 04-30 13:40:20 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x62f801… |
| 04-30 13:02:54 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x550499… |
| 04-30 13:02:54 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x550499… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xd1a65b… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1a65b… |
| 04-30 04:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd1a65b… |
| 04-29 20:12:34 | (anonymous) 0xccc4…4193 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x010d83… |
| 04-29 20:12:34 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x010d83… |
| 04-29 20:12:30 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xeb0044… |
| 04-29 20:12:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xeb0044… |
| 04-27 00:46:00 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xecef47… |
| 04-27 00:46:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xecef47… |
| 04-27 00:44:52 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xbc23f1… |
| 04-27 00:44:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xbc23f1… |
| 04-27 00:20:12 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x55ac90… |
| 04-27 00:20:12 | Rosy-Influence 0x6c2f…ba60 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x55ac90… |
| 04-26 20:50:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd213c9… |
| 04-26 20:50:18 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xd213c9… |
| 04-26 15:40:10 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x29cb29… |
| 04-26 15:40:10 | Horrible-Snarl 0xae30…e371 | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x29cb29… |
| 04-26 15:40:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x29cb29… |